Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The second half of the first half of Aug (yea that makes sense!) continue to look like one where we may see posts "We are going to be paying for this in Sept."
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Welcome to the team. If we miss this weekend the drought map is going to get more colorful.
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River life. It was nothing until it got there.
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Mount Joy Mayhem.
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I cannot think of a worse spot for the LSV/S Central PA official recording to be done beside the one entity in the area that both alters temps and precip. But yes, triangulate may be better for temps. but precip not so sure however you need a MUCH larger area to triangulate. MDT is my official station, it is the official station of areas an hour to your north, etc.
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@Jns2183 you seem to want to see this in action so the radar from Noon to 12:30 shows cells pop as they rise into the South Mountain chain to my SW, dying as they descended through the first valley albeit it a small dip down, then expanding again as they rise into the second chain.
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I love this look if it happened... conveyer of moisture feed from the Trop storm interacting with a front. That has flood possibilities. That front pushes it away afterwards.
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Red Lexus Lashing?
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Sunday, Sunday, Sunday
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That was the quandary for whether the Great CPC Heat Wave of 2024 would continue today...where would the 90's get to before the clouds and rain arrived.
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Partly Sunny and 84 nooner. MDT flirting with 90 but not sure if they made it.
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Case in point as to why it is not a good spot for area wide measurements.
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I assume the line coming through now (and starting to look lesser) is the 1-2PM stuff. HRRR has almost nothing the rest of the day. But HRRR did not have this stuff either. My read of his mention is that this line may limit anything else like the HRRR is showing.
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River wins. So often something minor approaches then turns into a big deal when it hits the might susky.
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Per meso's this is it until overnight. Pizza and hose for me tonight. LOL
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Line forming for those in the LSV. Will see if it holds.
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Need them to stay south. Even 1/4" of right now would be good. You make a mistake about once every 100 chances, so I am honored I was part of one! Last night that low was sitting and spinning off the NC/SC border (GFS and Euro) as well as inland a bit well into next weekend so that was and could be a worry.
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The GFS took a turn toward the CMC so some hope there. I will not be down there until Thursday evening. Taking the direct from HGR to MYR.
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Most Meso's have the wave passing over or just to the south of the Lsv today but are suspiciously devoid of any kind of major squall line now...dry slotted in some manner. None have 90's over this way while the Rgem has MDT get to 90 for an hour or two then a quick fall....HRRR is very hot and probably over done showing upper 90's for the LSV. Only the HRRR shows any chance of 90's tomorrow.
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I did mention this am. Lol.
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Hopefully you get a stress free run up to the trip. Best time to go to the beach is in Sept (or Oct in Florida)
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You may have to water the yard tomorrow....speaking of droughts in Marysville, you are still in a D1 in appears. Northeast Conditions continue to deteriorate across much of the Mid-Atlantic and New England regions. The Northeast largely missed out on useful precipitation, outside of isolated areas of 1-3 inches of precipitation in northern New Hampshire, central Connecticut, and the southern West Virginia and Virginia borders. Temperatures were at- or below-normal, seeing temperatures of 65 to 75 in the central and upper Northeast. New England saw the expansion of abnormal dryness from southern New Hampshire into Vermont and northern Massachusetts, along with the introduction of moderate drought conditions in southeast New Hampshire. Further south, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia, and West Virginal saw 1-category expansions throughout the region due to poor soil moisture, lack of precipitation, and decreasing streamflows. Southwestern Virginia did see some of the same improvements as Tennessee and North Carolina.
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Hurricane....and actually leaving Thur so 3 days. Don't want to spend all that money to sit in condo.
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Afternoon models really ramped up the issues for the Carolinas with tropical concerns. Supposed to go to Dirty Myrtle next weekend but I am going to cancel if the runs do not change by Mon/Tue.
