Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The should soon be time for a post from Stephen.
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The Allegiant effect at Mdt.
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Thur to tue. It look ok until this am. Nooners in Hanover. Dry and 88.
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We hit 90 and that is rounded up from what I understand re: it did not really hit 90. A cool 85 over here. BN high day.
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It may be a bit too much IMO. 2-4" would be nice. 6-10" (as depicted though probably 5-8 from the storm itself) would not.
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That is a well put together PBP (video.)
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It is leaves Florida and the center stays off the coast while inching up the coast going through RI (like many of those depictions show), it will not be good for the beaches. That happened in Florida when I was down there and it changed the coastline and destroyed thousands of buildings as just a non RI Cat 1. I love the backwards moving big yellow arrow!
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If we got tropical influence deform bands, anyone could flood. Even KRou. But I am just regurgitating models. Anyone who says they can 100% forecast what a tropical system will do 48 hours out, much less this amount of time, is selling you a line. What is DT saying? A hurricane can turn a cold front into a Hazel.
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Icon has a borderline Cat 3 strafing SC and NC. As predicted, there would be extensive damage from wind and flooding. 10+ feet surges. Myrtle could be basically destroyed Sanibel style depending how extensive the wind field is. Because it is just ramping up, the Icon does not have the hurricane forces going too far inland, but the surge would from watering pushed at high tide.
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.02 in the books. After the models have looked more optimistic for MYR, this Euro depiction is a vacation canceler. Allegiant will not fly down in that situation. GFS a flooder here.
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I do apologize for too many posts about a drought that does not affect all. Trying not complain vs. Discuss as well as root on others with model and rader trends. Not mad at anyone and any snarky comments I make (a couple toward pillow as of late) are directed at the situation and not the poster.
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Not sure USGS is going to pull your D1 if you can only muster .09 some days.
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It is the two mountain ranges. Synoptic weather systems are fed with their own pressure differences whereas convection is really subject to rapid terrain differences.
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I am guessing you have had 18-20" or so from June 2024-now. The last 3 summers combined I am around 18". 9 months...18". So more this summer than the last 3 summers here. I know you did not do well last summer. You go west of Waynesboro or even western Waynesboro and they have had 25-30" at least the last 3 summers.
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If you mean me directly, this has been a 6 year run. Hanover has received more rain this summer than I have received the past 2-3 combined. I would guess our northern posters have received 75-125" more than I have over the past 6 summers. If the person that sold me this house was a man, I would beat him to a pulp for not telling me about this. Educated guess that June-August from 2019 until now I have amassed a total of 35" or so. 21 months.....35". Normal would be somewhere around 80. HGR has around 45ish during that time and MDT is 70-80.
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Summer Becs/Biblical for Pillow and Marysville, 1/4" for us.
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Yea, I am going to second this opinion. Beer belly too.
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Come on HRRR, start pulling your weight.
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June-Aug/Sept yes.....
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The folks at NCEP/CPC are hitting refresh every 5 min checking the MDT temps. They never got their extreme heat but no heat wave at all would hurt.
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I did not reach 90 yesterday on the southern most point in PA so that helps average this out a bit.
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LOL, Yea I have learned I do not know where any of you are, but Mount Joy proper did get some good rain. But this reminds me of the Jimmy episode from Seinfeld. Anyway, welcome to the team. JNS, myself, and Anotherman amongst others are here to share our woes. LOL
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MDT is indeed short for their 90 right now. They have 2-3 hours to catch up.
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How about a butter knife?
