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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. I just read a Nam extrapolation out past 100 hours over on the MA so people are trying to find hope. I like to see the NAM get some respect but not sure I would defend it past 84 hours though. LOL. That used to be called something...the DGEX or EXETA or something like that.
  2. Will be really surprised if we get 2-4" of snow today. So will a lot of people since there is not mention of it in the zones.
  3. In the LSV it's hard to take any accumulation threats seriously with temps in the mid 40's right now.
  4. I am flying into HGR tomorrow AM so might get descend through it....under a tornado watch down here right now. LOL.
  5. I posted the 12Z Nam showing snow back here but did not see anything else showing it so not so sure I buy the Nam's post front snows at this point.
  6. Nam trying to get a burst of snow for even areas of the LSV tomorrow (west).
  7. We have had a few moments of tension here this year but watching yet another decent poster get his ass handed to him in the MA I wanted to state my appreciation for most here. NOT mentioning specific names but we have one top level met Who does not feel the need to mock others, then probably half a dozen amateur forecasters (some paid) who bring different skills sets amongst each of them....then we have another set weather fans who round out a full board where were are, in some ways, friends each winter and for some all year. For the most parts the egos stay out of the way here and I hope that continues.
  8. Yea, that's what I meant. Franklin, Cumberland and at least part of Dauphin. Its in the 40's in those areas right now and the zones have no mention of ZR. The zones should at least match the advisory.
  9. I will be a little surprised if they do not drop it for the LSV and maybe even the MSV.
  10. Mag, at this point, and taking into account the current longer range look of a still less than stellar pattern, I do not think any kind of reversal can save the winter as a whole. Part of the fun of winter is the occasional white landscape and cold related activities whether skiing or just sitting in front of a fire place. Your locale is a good example. You live in the southern half of PA and will always have warm periods in any given winter but unlike the LSV you are not suspect to warm invasions from a coastal that is too close to the LSV to do them good. Your area should always have a decent snow storm or two every winter just being as far west as you are...getting sloppy seconds in late Feb or March is not a substitute for winter. Unless the depictions on the LR models are off by quite a bit I think this winter goes down as a dud no matter how much snow we get in March.
  11. Winter is quickly fading. Starting to wonder if we ever recover this year....LR models now not pushing the boundary through at all.
  12. Yea, I was worried about BL temps but not this...thought e had a nice piece of energy carving out a small trough with only one way to go, under us.
  13. Wow, what looked like great setup for a low coming under us this weekend is just falling apart in virtual model world. Head shaker...
  14. If I were not worried about temps I would be gung ho for 4-6" lsv wide.
  15. The Great heat wave of Winter 2020. LOL Highs were not to the point of Feb. 20 and 21, 2018 though.
  16. It only takes me seeing then models under do temps so many times before I start to learn the routine. LOL. Looks like MDT is not going to make 60. Capital City did. Nam did a good job of seeing the CAD or CAD like differences in the eastern LSV just 5-10 degrees too low across the board.
  17. I think Sunday (or Sat night) has potential albeit again still not overly cold so temps are as much a question as the storm itself.
  18. Probably. I still think MDT gets to 60. Here is the map showing the North East side of the LSV is still in the 50's and the far east only in the low 60's.
  19. Took a peek at Wunderground map and it appears almost all of the LSV is into or almost into the 60's but eastern areas may fall a couple degrees short of yesterday. Some spots in Adams, Franklin and Cumberland county making a run for 70. Several 67's.
  20. Can't post the GFS snow map without posting PD III the following weekend.
  21. Sorry to hear about the lack of work. I bet it is stressful.
  22. I guess I was just defending our guys. Did not remember anyone go over board. I enjoy any situation that is far from norm...warm or cold...and I did punt this week from snow chances.
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