rimetree

Definitely, I have just seen recent cases with reports (tweets) of impending heat within a weeks time only to see that not come to fruition. I'm wondering if its a function of the late summer/early fall transition that makes a 7-day highly suspect because the atmosphere is in transition? In mid-summer or winter, I expect your going to get days 5 through 7 right more often?

Ya, I'll take any forecast more than a few days out with a grain of salt, let alone plan on any entire month being either AN or BN.

Must have been that 1 millionth post that put things over the edge.

Looking forward to tomorrow...first <60F high since early June.

Humidity has been persistent but not the likes of a couple weeks ago. I uninstalled last Saturday and haven't regretted it. My high the last seven days is 78 and my station tends to run a little hot.

7 hours ago, MarkO said:

Anyone know what ever happened to the GOES floater satellite images on NHC website?

Might not be there for long but they're here...

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters.html

Edit: Florence isn't there for some reason but is here: https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/06L/06L_floater.html

First fallish night...time for some backyard fire

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60/52...feels great

Front didn't do much to scour out the dews very effectively. Still feels pretty crappy. Looking forward to a break.

Grew up skiing Saddleback from the 80's to early 90's. Hope they can pull it off. Would be great to bring my daughter there some day.

I've seen a stat where we've had 35 AN months vs. 1 BN month since 2010 or something like that. Pretty telling.

84F here at 9PM...that's probably the latest it's been that warm all summer. Stifling.

Wind shift here...feeling great

Beautiful day up here in Lakeville me...76F and comfy dews

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Yore or not, this seems like an unusually stubborn pattern...GFS is basically repeating this through next week. The daily rains are starting to get old...my lawn is out of control.

Here in NYC for a little family vaca. Local forecast here sounds pretty awful with a mention of tornadoes in the afd for tomorrow. Whatever happens, kind of a bummer for my girls' first time in the city.

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It's been a while since we've had a summer like this with precip on multiple days in a row and in more than one episode.

Best storm of the season rocking right now. Plenty of lightning, gusty winds.

Lake temps are probably running mid 70's right now, I have been down in the lakes region for 50+ yrs, Typically on any given day, You can get that lake affect but its generally from 2 pm on as to when the winds pick up out of the SSW if your at the State park, With the shape of Sebago, Any wind direction will get you a pretty good chop to white caps, Been out there where some days will rival the ocean with some good 3-5 footers.

One of the scarier fishing excursions I've experienced was an early September trip to sebago south shore. Day started dead calm on the lake. By 10 am or so, winds started out from the northwest and picked suddenly. Probably gusting to 30...waves responded shortly thereafter. Had to bring it in with breakers swamping the launch ramp but made it out with just some bumps and bruises on the bottom the whaler. No fish.

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Interesting description of "frosty land" and "warm land" and impact to crop yields. I can only assume that's referring to valleys vs. highlands.

Just dumping here

Crazy skies around here. On radar it looks like storms to the west are clawing back east toward me.

Wow, a cell is actually developing instead of weakening just to my SW. Could be the first "good" one of the season.

Mosquitoes have gotten horrendous. Think I just got hit about 6 times in 5 minutes just out in the yard.

Low clouds starting to break up a bit here...moving along too. 72F No precip so far today. Funny how the ocean fog looked like it wanted to sock us in a couple hours ago and then just backed off. Seen that a lot this summer.

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's amazing how much time is spent ironing out invented terms of this weather-related social media.  

Be it 'bahama blue' ...  'blue bomb' ... 'coc' ... 'big heat' ... 'big cold' ... whatever it is, people have to keep replaying the same conversation, over and over and over again, when there can really be no one-size fits all definition for any of these - it may not be the best way to describe them, but they are "kitschy" terms... accessible to the hoi polloi as the gravy of the weather, less the mathematics of numbers...  

They're all subjective.   just say that...  

Anytime in January it's not snowing in this crowd?  Seems like it's BIG HEAT (with a frosting of subversive trolling ...)  

In the summer, 'big heat' has to be particularly apocalyptic for those same folk' to admit it, too, because what they're really doing in their 'Anti-S.A.D' misery and resent of summer fair is bargaining. Yup, as opposed to accepting the torment over the season they loathe through, it's pretty simple:  if they have to admit it's hot = admit it's not winter - oh not consciously - duh. But they gotta diminish the impact to get away from the reality and erode the bitters in mind.   

Then there are those whose attitudes so sloped the other way, big heat is anything > 88 ... a normal number, really. Because they 'want' the big heat... haha..  it's all so deliciously predictable... 

Truth be told, weather is something that for some fascinating reason, cannot ever be truly objectively defined.  One with their foot in the door of education or general-purposed enlightenment might even wonder if the 'type' of climate that is preferred could even be instinctual to some 'degree'... Maybe one's ancestors evolved in a region that say ... needed a certain growth/hunting factors for success, so over successive generations, ... genetic markers favorably evolved to hone when it is time to plant or shoot arrows, etc..  Replete with dopamine releases and that whole reward cycling and so forth... 

That blurb up there about 'Anti-S.A.D.' is a real phenomenon recently identified by the greater school of Psycho-babble sciences though.  It's interesting reading really...but for some 20% of the population, they are impacted with the same sort of seasonally affected issues, but at the other end of the spectrum; i.e., they loathe the long day light and sunnier warm weather that the 80% draws inspiration from.  I've speculated in the past that those in this weather hobby ... lust for dystopian antics by the forces of nature, might just share in some of the 20% ... if perhaps purified by the crucible of time, found in abundance here.  I think I'm in that twenty percent too - heh.  Although... it's both for me - I loathe April because the winter was usually disappointing and left too much on the field so to speak... So our reward for being shirked, we get days not long enough and still pointlessly cold - but not just cold... wet and cold.  I almost can take either in abundance, but together? Egh... caustic to the soul.  Then, the day's really get long and May - in well-behaved years - starts warming up and I'm in full tilt and happy again.  I'm neutral about autumns, though... if I start getting down from the loss of light, that TC on the charts and tracking the first winter air mass potential seems to correct that..  

It's true for all this stuff... they're just subjective terms that more or less resonate in the mind of the reader - caveat emptor... 

I think I have some "anti-SAD" tendencies. I like all kinds of weather, but don't like to be bored with long stretches of beautiful weather. There's probably few places in the world where people live that experience stormy conditions once a week regardless of season. Thinking snow storms in winter and wind-driven rain storms in warmer seasons. Maybe Patagonia region? We can have some good stretches here but I like my plate of enjoyable weather with a touch of pepper to keep things interesting. Too bland for my taste otherwise.