I thought climate models did a good job this year till they failed February! Everything was on track. But we should have sensed something was off when the mjo wouldnt move to the cold phases. I just assumed everything was on track and how can a Nino February fail given that we came off a successful January. I think we got caught up in the analogs and ignored the warning signals like a -pdo…no cold air in Canada. We failed as the models because this had to be an epic winter no matter what