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Ji

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Everything posted by Ji

  1. Mjo screws us in the bad phases and dosent help us in the good phases [emoji1751][emoji3]
  2. the 00z GEFS started showing that look but it may be showing it too soon
  3. I know where I live and it’s not Greenville sc. I should be getting 20-25 a year as default
  4. Lag or overatted? We had our best winter stretch in years! Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  5. Huh Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  6. I'd like a repeat of Feb 2003 please Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
  7. Punting 20 days of winter in our prime is super fun!
  8. less chance for supression and a 1973 type southern storm.
  9. I think we will be tracking on FEb 8....for the following week. to get anything before Feb 10 from what i am seeing is going to be threading the needle....Feb 5-10 might offer a surprise but the goodness is after i think
  10. looking at the euro weeklies 7 day precip anomolies there are above normal windows around Feb 6-10 then last week of feb into early March(i guess thatsn when we will have our HECS) no below normal windows though!
  11. all the seasonals had Feb as our best month....there might be a bit of a delay but now the ensembles and weeklies are seeing it. Plus the analogs support this....so yea i wouldnt cancel the winter now lol. People havent been trying to cancel this winter since Mid December
  12. I feel better about winter since Judah just canceled it https://x.com/judah47/status/1749430822120133107?s=46&t=C005pd5HNg3Y-KhVU7n3VA
  13. better get used to the Good Webber this year. Unsufferable the next few years lol
  14. best GFS run in a long time. Has a 384 hour MECS developing
  15. The expectation of every Moderate to Strong El Nino should be a a HECS. When is the last time we had one without a HECS or high end MECS? 97-98?
  16. no offense lol....but there is probably a texas forum for this
  17. of course i was hoping it would be a feb 1 to Feb 20 window.....but it is what is. Feb 10-March 10. Lets see what happens. Area wide we are in the 10-13 inch zone right now One Mecs of 15 and one Secs of 8 puts us 33-36. Thats a very good winter One Hecs of 25 and one secs of 5 puts us 40-45 inches...that would be pretty epic around here One Hecs of 35 and a secs of 3....would put us over 50
  18. With a teachers workday in Loudoun…my kids have been to school one day in the last 10 days
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