1 minute ago, Stormman96 said:

Too warm for 4-8 in city 

Exactly. I thought 1-3" was a tad nice. Could happen but the city is generally a heat pit...

15 minutes ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said:

That 1-3” zone is going to bust terribly. Should be at least 4-8”

NBC10 pretty much had the same map... 

6abc snow totals just now...

3 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

That's the way I used to do it, but I quickly maxed out the amount of data. I had been screenshotting, then pasting into imgur, then grabbing the link and pasting that in here, but that no longer seems to work.

 

Slightly more on topic--my boss expects me to be at a meeting on site in southern NJ tomorrow. Uhh...

Go to the top right on this site hit your name then hit "my attachments" and start deleting old ones. I think each member has a 40mb limit tillk maxed out. Once you free up room, you'll be able to add attachments.

15 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

Hmm... Can't copy/paste into and from imgur anymore. What are you all using to post images?

6 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

NWS updated their powerpoint:

https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf

Unless I'm missing something the timestamp on each page is 2/11 6:25am

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Like @Birds~69 stated these setups generally disappoint se pa cold chasing precip. 9 out of 10 times. But who knows, maybe this is the 1 out of 10 where we get the surprise. I wouldn't bet on it tho. Thinking a coating to slushy inch or 2 in extreme se PA. AN inch to 3 up my way. North and W of Central Bucks 3-5" then a swath of 4-8" LV. Rough guesstimate.T

Yep, that's my thoughts.

Pretty much after midnight tonight I'll start looking way N and see where the cold air lies. Then I'll follow  Allentown/Lehigh Valley obs and so on as the cold moves S while following the moisture. It usually gives me an idea if we're going to get screwed or not. Is the cold air moving faster than predicted? Or slower?  

36F

24 minutes ago, RedSky said:

This has the feel of one of those February wet snow bombs of old coming in as a surprise. Of course it's still over a day away.

 

More times than not these setups don't pan out. Either the cold takes too long to filter down or the precep scoots out of here quicker than expected or both. I do remember a couple plaster jobs, better than expected but they are far and few between...

40F/Cloudy

Just now, Cecily (Accu Weather) not buying it yet but did mention the S trend...

41F/cloudy

6 minutes ago, snowwors2 said:

If so, you’re a VERY old man⁉️

 

 

2009-2010: 78.7” 

2013-2014: 68.0”

1995-1996: 65.5” 

1898-1899: 55.4” 

1977-1978: 54.9”

You misunderstood.

E) Top ten greatest individual snowstorms:

1. 31.0” (Jan. 6-8, 1996)

2. 28.5” (Feb. 5-6, 2010)

3. 23.2” (Dec. 19-20, 2009)

4. 22.4” (Jan. 23-24, 2016)

5. 21.2” (Feb. 11-12, 1983)

.....and number 9. 18.7” (Feb. 16-17, 2003) would be my 6th.

On 2/9/2024 at 11:42 PM, snowwors2 said:

Nice & interesting work…

I'm blessed to have been alive for 8 of the top 10 snowiest seasons…Thank you for your work and for sharing‼️

Overall 6/10 for myself...but all of the top 5.

46F/cloudy

Pretty sure I saw or read somewhere we are 6F or 7F above average so far this month. Ground is toasty so I'll need good rates for anything to stick to paved surfaces around here...

42f/cloudy

Unless I'm missing something(?)....this will fail miserably. It's been low clouds...almost 2pm.

8 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

My Wyndmoor sister had texted yesterday about the foxes on her street whining and screaming all night.  Am guessing it must be mating season or something.

The 12z GFS is running so will see what happens.

I bottomed out at 39 this morning and had noticed it had clouded over overnight.  It's currently partly cloudy and 48 with dp way up there at 41.

It's mating season for a bunch of critters/creatures, I smacked a deer years past...just learned Feb is a prime skunk mating thing?

Be careful driving/walking and welcome to the jungle....

49F

We need a little something-something with these mid day runs today....

44F

Just now, RedSky said:

The snow falls midnight to 8am Valentine's morning, la la lock it up lol

 

Take a Multi-Vitamin, B-complex and kick yourself in the nuts from time to time and I think you'll be alright to keep alert.

I've had fox running around, squirrels making silly sounds so something may be up?

Cops released a fox in Lansdale, a stones-throw away a couple days ago....creatures/critters know.

Caught on cam: ‘Fox Whisperer,' fellow police officer free animal entangled in netting

https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/critter-corner/lansdale-police-fox-rescue/3769425/

1 minute ago, RedSky said:

Euro looks just south enough for good things

 

Welp, it's something I guess? Though, could get shafted in a heartbeat...

Just now, RedSky said:

The Ukmet loves us could be a good sign

We need something....and quite frankly we're not asking for much.

We suck at snow constantly.

Up next Euro...

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

About half of the 18z eps members now give the area at least a SECS event Tuesday. A little more than half of those are MECS. I would say the Euro is moving towards the GFS. The GFS is trying really hard to score the rare win.

Would like to see more consistency w/tonight's late night 00z runs. I'll take a 1-3" to 3-6" rain to snow plaster in a heartbeat....then cold.

42F/Cloudy

8 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

It looks like it has the cold air coming in after the storm is off the coast though (unless it thinks some cold air will come with a little clipper-like low that precedes the coastal).

It may just be a quick turnover passing burbs thing?

Who knows? Doesn't happen much these days...

2 minutes ago, RedSky said:

GFS just missed on timing with Presidents Day oh boy liking the pattern change.

 

Looking ahead, everything always looks great then as time approaches shit hits the fan...year after year.

48F

Birds season opener is in Brazil (Friday game) and the Phils have a 2 game series w/the Mets in London/June. Our home teams are not playing at home as much (WTF?)....screws Met fans as well.

Fox29 had a break down of what it will cost a Birds fan to go to Brazil for the game....easily over 2K (ticket, airfare, hotel etc) 

5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Doesn't mean accumulating snow but probably will see some flakes fly by midweek. After around the 10th of Feb the wiggum rule % of verification begins to drop. We r right on the cusp.

You should write the official Wiggum rule criteria and insert in the weenie handbook. Seems like there may be some confusion...

53F/Super bright sun. Reminds me when I had to drive Rt422 twice a day and was drilled by the sun twice a day to and from work (E,W)....

1 hour ago, The Iceman said:

Well we have the wiggum rule going for us with temps soaring above 60 on Saturday... 

Philly may hit 60F+ Sat but the burbs may not. Probably get screwed w/a high of 59F.

Sitting on the porch, feels like a Fall day out here as the sun is starting to set... 

53F