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jburns

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Posts posted by jburns

  1. 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said:

    End result of listening to Charlie Daniels while riding out the storm (and before anyone quotes me, I know the report of the moron shooting into the storm and dying was proven false)

     

    1

     That was your mistake. You don't ride out a storm listening to Charlie Daniels. You ride it out drinking Jack Daniels.

    • Haha 3
  2. 2 minutes ago, cheapdad00 said:

    So to sort out this direction discussion, West is 270 degrees, North is 360 degrees (or 0). NW would be halfway between at 315 degrees.  WNW would be halfway between W and NW, so 292.5 degrees. 

     

    So Florence is considered as moving NW because 305 degrees is closer to 315 (NW) than it is to 292.5 (WNW)?

    Yes.  That and west, north, west, west, would be a bit much.

    • Like 1
  3. 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

    In all seriousness....Sandy was great and all, but this is a thread about Florence.   Florence.  We talkin' 'bout Florence.   Florence.   Not Sandy...but Florence.  We sitting here in a thread about Florence and trying to talk about Florence.  Not Sandy.  Florence.  We talkin' bout Florence.  Florence.   We ain't talkin' bout Sandy.  We talkin' Florence, man.   Florence,man   I'm not shoving Sandy aside like it don't mean nothin'...but Florence.  We sitting here  talkin' bout Florence.  

    5

    Your prejudices are showing.  Ain't no black woman named Sandy.

  4. 2 minutes ago, Ser Pounce said:

    Yeah.  I had tomorrow at first. When I went to double check the info I pulled up0 an old link. Sorry about that.

    COLUMBIA — Gov. Henry McMaster will order evacuations along South Carolina’s entire 187-mile coastline border starting at noon Tuesday, saying residents and tourists must get out of Hurricane Florence’s potentially devastating path, according to several lawmakers briefed on the plans.

    The evacuations are expected to cover some areas inland prone to flooding, including Berkeley County and parts of Dorchester County. 

    The eastbound lanes of Interstate 26 heading into Charleston and U.S. 501 into Myrtle Beach will be reversed when the order takes effect, opening all lanes to evacuees.  

     
    • Like 2
  5. 12 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

    One thing to keep in mind, is there are practically no examples of major atlantic canes bending back to the west into SC/NC (i hear some posters referring to Hugo and some outlier model runs showing that type of track). Hugo may be the only one I can think of, and that was due to a decently strong upper low to it's WSW. This one doesn't have that feature currently.

    The main driver of this one is pretty singular (Western Atlantic Ridge). Florence is going pretty much track on the SW side of it, so a curve WNW and then NW seems most likely. Once it get's far enough inland it will decouple and weaken into a weak SLP. That is when it will stall b/c the steering currents aren't strong enough to keep it moving after it's transition. I think that's the main reason the NHC mentioned the further south options were the result of a weaker cane. The stall is the big question in my mind and you have to give the Euro precedent b/c it's been the most consistent per usual.  So I would say it's going to be in Central NC/Southern VA. 

     

    3

    A stall could end up doing the most damage of the entire event.

    • Like 2
  6. 9 minutes ago, downeastnc said:

    yeah that was kinda odd at first glance with the difference in strength....but then look at the timing change and how slow it moves right at landfall.....also keep in mind there is gonna be a strong 1030 mb ridge off NE and a  950-970 mb tropical low in SE NC that should mean the N and E sides quite far from the center are gonna have winds a lot stronger than you would typically in a rotting system...and that will persist for hrs and hrs if the storm stalls.....

    The winds will also spread out. 

  7. 4 minutes ago, Wow said:

    This may have Hugo-like qualities as it may be pushing well inland with a more westerly than northerly path.  This isn't like your usual storm hitting NC from a recurve path which keeps effects close to the coast.  But unlike Hugo, this will be slowing down and could turn this into more of a flooding issue rather than the wind.

    I agree with this.  I would only change your last phrase to, more of a flooding issue in addition to the winds.

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