jburns

2 minutes ago, HKY1894 said:

 

 

 

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Great post.  We need more like it.

5 minutes ago, ryan1234 said:

Brad P. posted this earlier today and I think it very well explains what could go wrong (or right) when it comes to model accuracy. We still are technically 5 days out. Climatology speaking, the odds are against a blockbuster winter storm in December is very rare. But there is still so much time and cliff diving is premature. As is reeling a particular model in. I’m just excited to have a possible storm to track, that for the most part looks promising for a lot of people.


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Nice.  That can also be applied to a storm thread.

3 minutes ago, Wow said:

CAD areas for the W piedmont & foothills are within a degree of 0 at most.  It's minor details at this point.  Overall setup is holding.  CAD high in place.

Yeah. Too early to be worried about a degree or two. We are usually sweating that 6 hours before onset.

24 minutes ago, ajr said:

Might be premature, but just ordered a sled for my son 

Got one for me.

1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said:

I did as soon as I posted my last thought. Guess It's over for me now.

It's a shame because the models are trending toward...........

Just now, AsheCounty48 said:

Absolutely glorious.

How can you be here?  Check the mountain thread.

43 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

If I see another person use the word "trend" after one model run, I'm going to croak.

I'd hate to see you trend in that direction.

1 hour ago, WeatherNC said:

Snow packed chicken?

Not that time but we really need to do that again.

2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Bet! I just want to beat your 03/04 storm, that was your avatar!! It’ll be a win! Dust that pic back off, it’s game time!!

2/27/04 A great day and night.

1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said:

The Euro gave me 30”, GFS 1”

good times ahead!

If you get 30" I'll have Scottie beam me over there to enjoy it.

1 minute ago, WidreMann said:

Disagree.

Why?  This was my 2/2004.

1 minute ago, Queencitywx said:

2/2004, 3/2009 come to mind. Those were different situations though.

mmmmmmmm

4 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

I think my issue with every storm getting a storm thread, it would make searching impossible and bury shit we might want to revisit. 

That was my point several posts above.  

1 minute ago, WidreMann said:

RAH is being too bold.

And that is an unusual occurrence. I was surprised to see the "snow" word 6 days out as well.

13 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Their algorithm is silly, it has 35 degrees and snow for my location. Would certainly flip to ice or sleet at like, 28-30.

Very little is certain. Not sure why you think 28-30 would cause a change.

12 minutes ago, Wow said:

I agree with Mr. Widre Mann.

Keeping this thread was never the issue.  It's the next ten.

14 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

Will you take a check dated for 2042?

Cashiers check sure. I'll leave it to my son in the will.

13 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

Can I have a late checkout from this thread? Also just slide the bill under the door so I can expense it. 

I take PayPal.

2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

I think it has value, simply for the sake of allowing people to discuss the LR pattern in a separate thread, when there's a ton of posts. 

You would think that but the reality is something else. The mid-range discussion simply gets moved to the storm thread, because it is mid-range at this point, and the regular mid-range thread goes almost silent. Hopefully, this storm will verify but most do not. It leads to multiple gaps in coverage inside the mid-range thread. If someone in the next few years comes back in research something it makes things difficult. You end up having to look at 20 storm threads to find the one or two that actually occurred and there is no continuity in the mid and long range threads.

2 hours ago, griteater said:

It will trend weaker and you and Frosty will be crying woe is me in here, then it will end up nuking you in the end and Orangeburg will be crying woes is me in here

1 hour ago, Queencitywx said:

Looks like everybody forgot about Climo since last year. 

Indeed. It also seems we have forgotten that starting storm threads 6 days out ends up with a forum that contains 20 storm threads 18 of which fizzled out before a first flake. I hate to do it but for the sake of the forum going forward, I am thinking about banning this storm. 

5 minutes ago, QC_Halo said:

My dog got hit by a car 2 hours ago and is in doggie ICU...but this gave me a laugh. Especially the dudes casually strolling behind.

 

os this your video? I’d like to share it...is it on YouTube?

all news is fake

I hope your dog recovers. I've just been through the same thing.

9 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

That was at Sugar Mountain, wasn't it? Mike puts on a show everytime he comes to NC.

He's crossed over into sports.  Colin Cowherd just tweeted the video.

48 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

This is pathetic!!! Shame on WC  faking crap like that, when people are losing their lives! 

 

Busted.  Big time.

FAKE WEATHER!!!