Damage In Tolland

ACATT never fails to disappoint . As foolish as they make themselves look 

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Today

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Light east wind.

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Light east wind.

Monday

Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Tuesday

Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night

A chance of showers, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph.

Wednesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 6 mph.

Juneteenth

A chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Southwest wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Thursday Night

Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday

A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. West wind 5 to 7 mph.

Saturday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. West wind 6 to 9 mph.

NWS Point and clicks ? I mean is that what’s you’ve come to? Sad to see this happening 

Next 5 days go from 70’s to 80’s to 90’s . Try harder ACATat

39 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Good Sunday morning,  Heat is obviously coming now and interiors slated for an above normal number of 90+ days in June.  

Thursday may be a heat advisory afternoon for interior NJ (EWR etc).  Also mixed layer Cape over 1500J with Bulk Shear >30 kits suggests potential for SVR. Timing timing timing. 

Then the heat wave, first of the year probably for most of us except water influenced coastal spots (Sunday-approximately around Wednesday of next week), possibly longer with widespread heat advisory conditions early next week, possibly a heat Warning coming for some spots.  Interestsingly enough while ML CAPE is high early next week, Bulk Shear is low so any SVR Thunder may be more isolated, local convergence initiated. 

 

Recent abo e normal rainfall and another event coming before the heat... that will help with higher dews and possibly lower max temp potential a deg or two. Nevertheless, HOT looks to be on the way. 

We Walt 

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AN as fast as the eye can see starting mid week. Summer is here.

ACATT will try and poke and post holes in that today. 

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Meh it's like in winter when models show a great pattern and snow chances on day 10 only to go to crap.. also models have been showing heat in the extended for 2 months now and nothing to show for it.. maybe this time works out though 

They haven’t shown any sustained heat like this. Not once . 

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

he means Septdewber, months from now it'll relax

And honestly it’s probably more likely mid/ late Octorcher 

13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

There is though

Not on any ensemble guidance 

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

hoping we can manage some big storms at the end of it

Well the thing is.. there really is no end 

22 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Looks like  .5 - .6 will just about do it.

 

Not sure where that is but SNE General was under .15. A terrible job by anyone calling for rain and using euro 

Even Ineedsnow is excited and become Ineedheat

Oh yeeaaaahhhh boooyyyyyy

39 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Take those dews up. Plenty of 70+ coming starting late next week. 

There’s way too much taking model output and machine numbers verbatim. One look at that ridge and thicknesses from Thursday onward thru end of month shows high dews and steamy . Could be a day after a severe outbreak that dries a bit , but dews right back into 70’s after . It’s like when the charts are posted. Most know those aren’t correct and to add 5-8 degrees on at least 

It’s a HHH pattern folks.

Deal With It

- Cosgrove 

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Stein finally came.

Didn’t someone say 6z Euro qpf was usually right the day before?

.03 lol. Not wet a bit under the trees. Just about over too . Stein showing life 

HRRR FTW 

6z Euro yesterday FTL @Ginx snewx

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Anything EML-driven, rules go out the window.   I would say not much to look at for sig severe, tho:/.

Both Gfs and Euro have periodic EML here starting late next week 

Tor’s Tiger ?

Drive by some homes that don’t prune their bushes and look at ones that do . It’s amazing the difference in terms of aesthetics and perception 

54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Who does weekly shrub pruning? wtf.

Anyone that cares about how their landscape looks . If you don’t keep up with it this time of summer , it over grows very quickly . 

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

That’s 12z too… the 18z is even drier.

You wonder if many even measure?

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

CT Rain person said no severe, laughed at that assertion days ago

Texts today say quite different 

A whole lot of Meh tomorrow morning . Most end up under .25 

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1933533264506917342?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

76. 1 for the high with mostly sunny/smoke . A solid day to do the lawn and weekly shrub pruning. Let’s get thru tomorrow and the torch summer awaits us mid week on. Along with severe