Damage In Tolland

7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

 

Fail?

Nope

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I will agree though that that image looks like the best cold centered west of us. idk about high dews, but maybe slow or stalling cold fropas with decent rain chances and sloppy second cool airmasses? That's 2 weeks out though so who knows. Maybe the trough axis will verify more over us as has been the theme.

Right.. it's not an out and out hot pattern. It is showing the WAR building west onto the east coast . Kind of like this week while we dew and get near 90, they get big cool shot out west and that front struggles to get thru EC

Overnight runs continue to signal east coast ridging as drum beats get louder. It may end up extended period of high dews and not torrid heat, but signals have been there for a week now 

As we've been mentioning for 7-10 days now .. big E coast ridging on its way. Get ready folks 

Sneaky little 2-3 day hot spell next week Tues-Thurs. One..maybe 2 days may hit 90

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

same folks who had a massive July heater?

No.. no one had that .. though it has been AN, certainly not a massive heater 

55 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

 

Not to be a dink but ... what are you basing that on? 

 

I will say, if the teleconnectors had much use at this time of year, yeah - a warm continent would be a better expectation; actually taking place sooner than the end of the month, too.  But, the impetus there is that the tele's aren't very correlative right now.   Frankly the EPS and GEFs mean don't really physically reflect the tele numbers - probably as an homage to that uselessness (maybe).  Neither mean deviates much from the western heat dome with significant weakness over SE Can/EC summer plague really - 

Sounds like an opportunity to go with persistence for now -

I've seen some of the long range Jamstec stuff and talking with Gibbs. Much of it and them show big changes globally leading to ENA ridging 

August looks to be setting up with massive East coast ridging after the first few days . Gonna be a hottie

If it was September sure. We don't get these in July. One is coming but not yet 

All next week we do the daily dews and storms depending on SW's. 

Ryans got 85-91 all of next week with dews

26 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Feels a bit humid out today despite temps in the 70s.... looks like we've tickled mid-60s for dews up here.  That's some mid-summer stuff.

Holy crap, just saw BDL is 87/73.  Surprised Blizzy isn't all over that.  That's fairly legit July weather.

When are we expecting September warm days and cool nights?

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Seems to be causing perpetual bagginess in the height fields over northeastern US....every day I've been looking at the 8-10 day or 10-15 day means and they all look the same going forward.  Ridge in the west to upper midwest and then sort of WNW flow in the means over us.

Like a nice set that was always up and perky, but after years of use, just D batteries dusting the floors?

Looks fall like?

Seeing a trend overnight and today of more heat as we hit mid month and beyond. First half of July running +1 to +2 AN. Might really be able to take em up if hotter signal continues getting closer 

Gfs did too

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Warm start this week, but another cool down to end it. It's been a nice mix of days this summer. 

Nah.. Crisp September wx all week. 

5 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

First week of Sept average for the entire day is 70 to 68. What does 80 over 61 average with dews in the low 50s to boot. Heckuva way to run your super hot summer you forecasted, we never forget.  

September all next week seems like. Hopefully the crisp weather gets the foliage season off to early start 

29 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah that may be pushing it.  Early September at BDL is like 80/58 type stuff...though there may be a couple of those days in the next 10 or so, but I bet its mostly low to mid 80s at the SNE torch station.

I say that but the last 4 days (including today) have been a bit below normal at BDL... yesterday's 81/60 was -2 and today's 5pm climo report is showing 73/63 for a -5 on the day.  Today's data at BDL is similar to September 5th, but did it with daytime rain keeping the max down.

Overall it looks pretty dead on normal to me going forward, though if I had to nod in a direction it may be a bit below normal for some spots like up here which have been running -1 to -2 since June 1st, and pockets of SNE.  I see nothing to think it'll get into a sustained above normal pattern though.  I know Metherb has been below normal too but when the overall pattern is within a degree or so of normal either way you'll have that local variation.  Some spot will be +0.6 and the next will be -0.5 or something.

Pretty boring but nice summer...I'd say most are in the -1 to +1 range for departures over the next 10-14 days.

I mean even I'll admit no heat or Uber dews..though Tuesday should be 90-92.. but for someone to call 80's September like when highs are normally in 60's and low 70's.. well you'd hope it can be attributed to drinking 

Now it's September days. 82-87 is now September . Ok got it

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Normal is what 85F or maybe 86F next week?

Yesterday at BDL was 86/58 and was -1 for the day.

That's far from a torch at BDL in mid-July if that's what you are trying to say.

75-82F for Tolland next week?  Sounds perfect actually.

Again you missed the point . You guys keep talking about cool and BN summer . We haven't had that and next week has trended warmer but it's not being admitted 

Ryan has 83-87 everyday next week. Where's the cool and BN that was discussed ?

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Why would BDL represent you? Enjoy the COC.

But our dews don't represent us?

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Last week the Tolland Stem had 5 days that had highs below 80.0F.  

You mean like all those days that were in the 70s we're really low to mid 80s?  You were probably even cooler.

What were all the ASOS stations for highs and lows that Scooter and mets say we should use and not private stations?

53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Probably a lot of 78-85 with nights in the 50s. No HHH for you. 

Like this morning was supposed to be cool. It was 64.8 for the low

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

   They are not HHH 570 troughs. 

Huh? The point was folks always talk cool and 70's and BN in SNE and each cool shot has been low-mid 80's lol