KokomoWX

In season No preference. Windy! Continuous 18" of fluff over 36 hours or 12" of cement in 12 hours Bitter! Meh, anytime is fine. N/A I want to keep the snow and build some snowpack. Melting right after is awful.

Mesoscale Discussion 1143 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1229 PM CDT Mon Jun 13 2022 Areas affected...East-Central IL...Central/Southern IN...Southwest OH...Northern KY Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 131729Z - 131930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts may develop over the next few hours. Potential exists for the development of a convective line capable of strong wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Recent surface observations across the Lower/Mid OH Valley sampled a very moist air mass, with dewpoints in the upper 70s/low 80s. Surface temperatures across this region have reached the low 90s. These low-level thermodynamic conditions beneath steep mid-level lapse rates is contributing to extreme instability. Recent mesoanalysis estimates MLCAPE over 5000 J/kg and recent RAP soundings show a surface-based LI of -13 to -14 deg C. Mesoanalysis also indicates convective inhibition has eroded across much of the region, despite very warm low to mid-level temperatures. An area of deeper cumulus has developed just northeast of the strongest buoyancy, in the open warm sector well southwest of the warm front. Mesoanalysis reveals this cumulus is within an area of modest moisture convergence likely resultant from a subtle wind shift. Lighting has also been noted within this region during the last half hour. Given the thermodynamic conditions, very strong updrafts/downdrafts are possible. Moderate vertical shear is also in place, suggesting storm organization is possible. Evolution of this development is still uncertain, owing to the weak large-scale forcing for ascent and warm low to mid-level temperatures. However, the overall pattern and presence of extreme buoyancy suggest the potential exists for the development of a well-organized convective line. Most likely corridor for progression of this line would be across central/southern IN and into southwest OH and adjacent northern KY. ..Mosier/Guyer.. 06/13/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...

I was at Credit Union 1 Arena Saturday for a 3 1/2 hour marathon of Rush University's Commencement which began at 2 PM. The ceremony went continued after the warning but when it was over, I turn around from photographing the hooding portion to find an almost empty arena. Pretty crazy to see that. By the time I packed up, the sun was out. I drove home in between the storms but was treated to a crazy light show almost the whole way after a dinner stop in Merrillville.

This thread should be dead. It's April for goodness sakes. Stupid winter hanging on.

Nuisance level at best. I'll take sunny and spring like over the continued polishing of the 21-22 winter turd.

Rain for wave one, a miss south for wave two. Sigh. It wouldn't be as bad had the model not hinted at something near historic for days. When does spring start again?

I done disagree. So much rain and lost potential. We have switched over and it is coming down hard. I tossed us a live stream before going home for the day.

I feel pretty good about my chances for 12+ inches. I was worried earlier about being on the sharp southern cut off (and possibly ice) but that has passed. Anything less than 10" will be a bust in my mind though.

Thanks. I updated my original post.

For those interested, here is a nice video on the upcoming storms. ("professional meteorology analyst") He did a nice job on the recent nor'easter.

North is a 4 letter word. Sigh.

When do headlines get posted? This afternoon or tomorrow AM?

Boston broke its single day recored (23.5") with and I saw a 30.4" measurement in Sharon, MA so those outlandish model totals did verify for them. 70-80 gusts too. Wow.

I'm not sure exactly what the "NWS Blend of Models" is at Pivotal Weather but here is the 00z.

Prolific. Edit" This has turned into a slower, less amped solution that spreads a lot of wealth. It doesn't suck as bad as I expected.

It's just one run but my concern north is not unfounded. That is an awful consolation prize.

19" IMBY - A pure dream.

GHD I was expected to be a monster for the LAF-OKK crew. Instead a last minute sleet storm happened and Chicago got a historic snowstorm. Here are a few maps and images I have from leading up to that event. You can see the bullseye was everything we dreamed. Long live the DGEX. (I forget who used to run a private high resolution weather model for our area.) This memory makes me think I'd rather be in Chicago vs Indy for next week.

It would be crazy to think we could make up a seasonal deficit with one storm this late in season. I will say the previous GHD monster storms yanked the rug out from us last minute. While 6" of sleet was nothing to sneeze at, it was a far cry from feet of snow that was expected. Pinging sounds are bad memories.

Wind gusts/temperature 6 PM Thursday from the euro.

I am trying to not think about it. Euro...

The Euro has trended nicely for IMBY.

12z GFS says no.

The ice component looks ugly for many including myself. Sigh.