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GrandmasterB

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Everything posted by GrandmasterB

  1. GrandmasterB
    Cool cool cool
  2. GrandmasterB
    All good! It’s really a blend of models in the forecast and the GFS was way too aggressive on snow for the southern parts of York/Lanco. It didn’t help that the Euro bled north run after run. I don’t think the Euro or GFS performed all that well for this event from just 72 hours out. I just hope we get paid back with a north trend when we need it!
  3. GrandmasterB
    I was the one who commented about the NAM and yeah Canderson would have measured 0.0 if this was right:
  4. GrandmasterB
    I’ll get out of bed for sure, but if it’s rain I’m heading right back
  5. GrandmasterB
    Nowcasting is not what it used to be, but in this situation it may come into play given how tight the gradient is forecast to be between a trace and 4”. We have seen models underestimate WAA, but we’ve also seen them underestimate evaporative cooling. Will be interesting to see play out and hopefully everyone gets a nice snow tomorrow.
  6. GrandmasterB
    Ukie has measurable down to the MD line. My goal for this system (IMBY) is two inches. Seems plausible at this time.
  7. GrandmasterB
    I’m not putting a lot of weight on the 78 hour NAM thermals. Could certainly end up being right, but it’s not close to the euro output.
  8. GrandmasterB
    12Z GFS colder on the front end and overall better for us southerners. True central smoked. Noticeable move to the Euro.
  9. GrandmasterB
    Agreed. A little snowier for the Sunday one and less snowy for the mid-week threat, but hard to complain for early December.
  10. GrandmasterB
    Well that escalated quickly! It’s certainty nice to have something to track. Thanks Blizz as always for the maps.
  11. GrandmasterB
    Now that the models run at the correct times I guess I’m back in. This (snow chasing) hobby is a lot of investment and often times disappointing, but I couldn’t quit it even if I tried. Here’s to another season riding it out with everyone. I hope it’s a cold and snowy one for all of us!
  12. GrandmasterB
    Radar for Lancaster county looking not great.
  13. GrandmasterB
    Pro tip: if you check models tonight or tomorrow for possible flakes on Saturday then you’re really only going 5 months without checking models for snow.
  14. GrandmasterB
    A highlight of the season ITT!
  15. GrandmasterB
    For context MU is a great met up here, but typically very conservative.
  16. GrandmasterB
    Thanks for posting up here. MU is excellent and typically conservative so to see him aggressive on this set-up and echoing your thoughts is interesting.
  17. GrandmasterB
    I think the NAM goes even bigger at 0Z. Add to the drama.
  18. GrandmasterB
    Ok so it’s Blizz, MU, JB, Hoffman and the NAM against the Euro, GFS, Ruin, and all the AI models. Everyone pick a side!
  19. GrandmasterB
    Blizz hacked MU’s account!
  20. GrandmasterB
    Just a nut kick progression from 66 to 96 at 500.
  21. GrandmasterB
    100% agree
  22. GrandmasterB
    Hour 42 of GFS small changes at 500. I think the changes are a bit better but also guessing and wishcasting.
  23. GrandmasterB
    WOOF! That 500 look is insane. How does that not crush us!?
  24. GrandmasterB
    No worries. Appreciate the ICON analysis!
  25. GrandmasterB
    I find it interesting that the ICON decided to go due east here. Could be the suppressed flow up north, and if it is then we’ve seen that relax all the way up to go time.
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