Jns2183

How's the swimming pool Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Time to climb Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

This is your storm. It's not moving much Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

The outflow will cloud cover has been amazing for Harrisburg Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

That had to be a pretty view before with all on the ridges Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

86 now. Feels like 105. Feels like Puerto Vallarta Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Anyone want to guess where elevation is? Today is a classic. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Pulse storms already popping Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

A den of swamp ass Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Grass is as green in July as I have ever seen it Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Light rain has begun Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Nice meso discussion out. We are getting boxed soon and break out the boats. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

I got 0.85" in camp hill Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Some broad rotation Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

@canderson I think this may be your day Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

Storms starting to fire south of it off the outflow. It's ungodly horrible out right now with sun. I feel like rice in a steamer. Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

How is your annual deficit so much? I'm around 20"-21" and my deficit is only a little over 1" Sent from my SM-X210 using Tapatalk

It's 89 with a 73 dew point. That sun has destabilized everything. Now just waiting on an outflow to hit some of the old boundaries laid down from yesterday and watch it blossom Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

I ask it for hypothetical bets so I can track confidence and see how updated changes reflect in its betting. New data and it's at $92 up from $85-$85 Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

No I pulled up the nam soundings for KMDT and downloaded the images for today from 11am till 8pm then uploaded them and had it walk me through its interpretation circling and annotating what it's looking at so I can learn. That was just the summary. I just now uploaded a bunch of different GOES satellite gifs downloaded from CTP site and gave it current flash flood guidance amounts and asked if It had $100 to bet that someone within 25 miles of camp Hill would see flash flooding today how much would it bet. $85-$95. So it's pretty gung ho on people getting slammed today Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

The NAM forecast soundings are not pretty 2:00 PM (Second Image) Thermodynamics: Moisture has deepened significantly through the low-mid troposphere. CAPE increasing. Inversion breaking down. CIN: Nearly eliminated. Wind: Weak veering. Still light but flow is organizing. Interpretation: This is the convective initiation (CI) window. Expect first storms around or after this point, especially if boundaries are present. Tall, narrow CAPE profile supports efficient rainfall. --- [emoji419] 5:00 PM (Third Image) Thermodynamics: CAPE is strong, with tall and narrow shape: classic flash flood profile. Fully saturated up to ~500 mb. Wind: Still weak steering, slight veering. Winds supportive of parallel cell orientation, a key factor in training/banding. Interpretation: This is the high risk time for backbuilding storms. Low LCLs + tall moist layer = efficient rain production. Very favorable for anchored convection with heavy rain. --- [emoji419] 8:00 PM (Bottom Image) Thermodynamics: CAPE remains robust. Deep warm-cloud layer (melting level) = high rainfall efficiency. Winds: Very weak aloft → poor storm motion → cells likely to stall. Shear drops significantly. Interpretation: Flash flood risk peaks if convection sustains. Weak outflow winds suggest training, merging cores, or cell regeneration. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Amazingly you have about 10.5" more than me Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

So repeat it seemx Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Looks like we get to do this tomorrow as well. Any idea the focus area for tomorrow or is it just a game of weather roulette. I didn't exactly have a super high rain chance for today this morning, only 40%, and this happened Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

You've been due for a day like this for how many times storms seemed to just miss you the past couple years. I had my crazy storm day last summer with those tropical remnants setting up a 10-15 mile training band that left with me close to 9". Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk