BretWx

Just... beautiful. There's not one in here that would be a bad storm. 

2 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

The Euro ensembles are simply beautiful for the immediate Asheville/Hendersonville area.

 

Not to be selfish, but that 20in lollipop is right over Henderson county. I'm STILL hesitant to go all in on this one. 

Euro shows 48 hours of snowfall for most. Still shocked this is continued to be honest. 

Oh, here we go again. Ingles here I come! 

And... another one. 

2 minutes ago, Moonhowl said:

Got my Ingle's run in this morning, wasn't very crowded.  Hopefully it want be too bad for you this evening if the jinx doesn't put the brakes on your shopping.  Since there were a few flakes in town (I mean snow flakes) it may spread the bread and milk panic.

The milk and bread panic is REAL... I'm surprised it hasn't started yet... Last year this time I was snowed in through Tuesday after that weekend. I live up a pretty steep hill going up about 250ft. They didn't attempt to plow it until Monday PM. I would have attempted to go down, but it drops off about 200ft around curve w/ no railing. I'm good... 

KVAL mean went up again - 15.85

KTNB at 17.92

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/tdorian/gefs/EMCGEFSplumes.html

Ok, who's owning the EURO pbp? 

Not to jinx anything, but if the Euro shows anything like it did yesterday, I'll be doing my grocery shopping after work today. 

Can't really ask for a better look. 

8 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

Relax, it's just doing the mill A/B transition to the high reflective spot in Florida. The next frame if it ever loads will clear everything up.

We're not going to get the next frame until it's time for the Euro lol 

4 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

CMC just kinda sent shockwaves...

Not buying west of the apps. 

At this point, I'm thrilled to still be having great run after RUN. Looking GREAT!

12z GFS shaping up to be a beautiful run for us... 

Flurries even down here in Fletcher. 

Seen on another site - 6z EPS control 

Having fun reading the tread from last year's storm, same time. Seems the GFS is the on who got it right. 

1 hour ago, ncjoaquin said:

GEFS mean still at 12.62 based on 0z data. So, still looking in good shape. Anything over 10 inches would be a win in my opinion.

Looks like it ticked back up to 15.51, higher QPF. I'll take it. 

6z FV3-GFS looks very nice. Will be interesting to see how it plays out w/ this storm.

13 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

Anddddd 6z GFS says were back to normal.

Yeah it does. Widespread 15-20 inches for all. 

7 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

It trended warmer and that's a concern if it keeps up. End of the nam (not very reliable) is very cold!.

Low 20s all the way into the upstate in looks like. 

Not a bad run on the Euro. Widespread 10-20 inches. 3 days out? I’ll take it. 

Still in awe of this afternoon’s EURO. Headed to bed now. Can’t wait to see what in store for tomorrow’s. 

6 hours ago, BretWheatley said:

KAVL mean ticked up to 12.01 (highest up to 33.26 - phew) 

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gc_wmb/tdorian/gefs/EMCGEFSplumes.html

Asheville up to 15.12 yet another increase. 

9 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

GEFS mean is insane.

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Right? The fact that 20 inches is still on the table is wild!