LP08

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

GFS verbatim may be a very brief period of some mix precip for the cities but quickly transitioning over to rain.  Would be a prolonged frozen event for the 81 corridor.  

Even with an all rain scenario for MBY, its good to see this setup as he head into more favorable snow climo for the corridor.  Love to see a parade of coastals.  

I think the only hope is to get the ULL to go south of us for more than what you stated above.  So far is has it going through WVa and north of the region.  But, lets keep these looks going forward.  

Edit:  I think the ICON showed this yesterday with the change back over to snow through the region.

1 hour ago, showmethesnow said:

With the 1000-500mb line all the way up in upstate NY at onset not sure we really want to know what the upper layers look like. 

Fv3 is acceptable!

25 here.  Fantastic.

37 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

lol it’s a nuke. Gimme that in another 3-4 weeks please. Tracks overhead, but dumps on Garrett county and WV mountains. 

Isnt this where we take the GFS precip and Euro temps and call it a day?  :)

18z GFS trying to get a frisky for midweek next week.

BWI: 34.4
DCA: 19.7
IAD: 42.6
RIC: 13.3

Tiebreaker (SBY): 14.6

33 here with a good amount of frost

2 day total of 1.53” 

0.84 here...what a soaker the past couple of weeks have been

DCA: 11/18

BWI: 11/3

IAD:  10/29

RIC: 11/18

Tiebreaker: October rainfall at IAD: 4.8

1 minute ago, NovaTarHeel said:

Tornado Warning right above my house in Midlothian, VA.  I'm at work Northwest of Richmond, so it's hard to know what's going on. 

27 minutes ago, H2O said:

So who had already gone and bought storm provisions earlier this week?

Heard on the news this morning you can still get sandbags in Falls Church.  I might get some to fill up my sons sandbox.

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Hook is peaking out again around Dumfries. Pretty decent booms already in Arlington.

I’ve been watching that one....still not signs of rotation on scope but that’s a healthy storm

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

 

I’ve picked up .9 in the last 30 minutes here near Westover

Tornado warning for the Baileys Crossroad area...looked tighter a few scans ago but yikes

1.85 for today so far in N. Arlington....only 66 degrees!

1 minute ago, mappy said:

guess it mostly depends on where a cell sets up. Not sure how well the meso models handle these type of setups in pinpointing where the heavier spots will be. we know the potential is there though. 

I was suprised as well after just glancing through stuff.  I keep hearing "widespread" but like you said, seems like it will look like most of the other days.

Got 1.93 inches of rain from the line and another inch from the complex overnight....Wet

Pea size hail and some pretty close strikes...tons of water as our sump backed up and had to shovel water out....only one memorable gust in North Arlington 

Pea sized hail in Arlington

Sweet shelf coming into Arlington