LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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For posterity. Eps is also moving the good looks up in time.
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I know it’s an OP at range but that is some nice extension of the ridging out west into the epo and AO domains. Some actual cold air around the holidays perhaps
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BWI: 14.2” IAD: 17.3” DCA: 11.8” RIC: 7.6” SBY: 6.5”
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Cell NE of Frederick has some broad rotation and is starting to get that “look”.
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Can confirm is gross out.
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Full sun with only some high cirrus in Arlington. Looks like we checked off one of more common fails for sever here so we are off to a good start.
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Of all the pity warnings we get...I agree
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I feel your pain. Good rain and CG though.
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Over 3” since midnight. Absolutely pouring.
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Maybe the corridor can get a light show as this rolls by to the west.
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It’s got quite a bit to go. ICON had a very similar progression to the Euro. keep watching up in NE for lowering heights near the 50/50 region.
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GFS might try and get tricky too. Much lower heights in the NE. edit: not quite but it’s all we got going forward
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The ridging in the NE causes the storm to ridge west of us and pump in warm air. Of course right after I posted this the Euro kept heights lower with next weeks ocean storm. If we could relax some of that ridging, then there might be a chance.
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I agree that it looks good at that specific moment, but the damage to temps has already been done. I'm usually as optimistic as anyone on here, but with the storm starting so far west, temps have no chance to recover in time even once it transfers to the coastal.
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Starting to get an uneasy feeling about the remainder of January. This look looks awfully familiar. More troughs on the west coast and not even a hint of help on the Atlantic side. Let's hope the GEFS/GEPS are correct for the period after day ten but the EPS has been degrading for the last several runs.
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Through 114, Euro is north of 0z. Its stronger so it increases the ridging out ahead of it.
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Euro is quite a bit stronger than the GFS.. ~ 6 mbs in the plains.
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I'm not showme, but the primary holds on until well north of us before beginning to transfer south of Boston. But again as everyone else said, much better run.
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850's still south of Fredericksburg at 18z Sat. Can't see the other levels but its definitely frozen.
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12z GFS Slower but also further south with the track of the low. High in a great place. Better than 6z.
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To echo others....EPS looks really nice with some big storm potential. I see three distinct windows with quite a few hits.
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Very nice uptick (as others have said for next weekend from the eps. Also showing the next two “threats”.
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ICON at 18z has the best track for next weeks “event”. Temps are less than desirable but at least out west it’s a good run.
