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Superstorm

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  1. That one developed much further north than what is depicted on GFS. .
  2. Based on tellies, looks like a pretty good call. Hope we can squeak out 6 weeks, though. .
  3. Lots of great lakes lows in the extended GFS 12Z model. Not a good thing.
  4. My trip to Watertown did not disappoint. “Only” ended up with 37.5” but that is most snow I have seen in one storm. I did ride through the Tug where well over 5 feet fell. In this current “warm” climate, LES season will be more severe and longer as the lakes will stay warmer and won’t freeze. .
  5. But anyone welcome to come up with me if interested. .
  6. I’m trying to time that out. Need to wait for future model runs to make sure. .
  7. Think I’m heading to Altmar, NY Thursday night. Do some Lake Effect chasing.
  8. NAM tracks low to south but no cold air in place so it looks like an elevation event again.
  9. If I see a Southwest flow setting up, I am chasing. .
  10. Exactly. Climo. You need an anomalous cold or anomalous wrapped up system to deliver in November. .
  11. I was staying in Milford PA last night. This morning had about 3 inches of snow on the car. But only about 2 miles away in the higher elevations of New Jersey. They had a foot and a half of snow. .
  12. Lots of “potential” on that 18Z GFS. I kinda believe it. .
  13. On some of those radiational cooling mornings, Ive seen it go from +15F to -15F driving through the hills and valleys of southern Lanco.
  14. I’m actually thinking we get close to average snowfall. Temps will be mild but we will have opportunities. I’m thinking a weak La Niña. .
  15. Dewpoints around 30F and also breezy. Could stay above freezing at MDT. .
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