sferic

13 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Should be close. I must say its odd to see moths and flakes in the light.

So close

3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Should be close. I must say its odd to see moths and flakes in the light.

I have 1 hour until I conk out; have to be up at 7 to help wife log in to remote instruct from my PC

Radar shows frozen precip just north of Liberty

2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

35°

Will give it until 3AM

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

Yes. Not much past Roscoe but 2000'

I miss going to the Roscoe diner !

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

They're mangled but they're snowflakes.

What is your temp?

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

First flakes here!

In Deleware County?

5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Agreed. Unless it was an overnight wet snow and everything's pasted at sunrise.

Temps dropping, down to 39.5

12 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Guilty. I'll never understand why we are the way we are but whatever lol.

It brings out the kid in us with memories of youth and how magical snow is.

What I don't like is after the snow moves out and the sun comes out...

The anticipation and storm itself is the rush, when it's over it;s a letdown of sorts unless there is another event right in back of it

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

I use pivotal site and tropicaltidbits. I no longer have a computer. 

oh ok so as a website in a browser not an app

7 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Debating a nap, or an all nighter....beers are going down nicely but a coffee may be in order too. Glad I coincidentally took vacation. 

BTW can you recommend a good app ( paid or free ) for my android phone that can show me all the models when I am not at my PC?

2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Debating a nap, or an all nighter....beers are going down nicely but a coffee may be in order too. Glad I coincidentally took vacation. 

I have an understanding wife who is use to me looking at any outside light counting flakes.

Just now, crossbowftw3 said:

Still gonna root for 1-2" here at 800' but coating still works. If this were a month later a decent snowstorm would be just getting underway. Expecting to hear up to low advisory amounts at elevations still.

I still say  and hope Sullivan will get a good 1-2 with maybe way northern Sullivan around Roscoe get 3 inches

3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Time to watch radar and then porch light.

I'll be up until 3AM or until snow is in the air, whichever comes first!

1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said:

Was just going to post this same exact message. However its radar product is also underdone at initialization. Probably irrelevant but who knows.

00z 3k NAM even better

12 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Not sure. Going to depend on intensity of precip. My expectations are low if I'm being honest, holding out hope elevation will help but wondering if we get enough precip. Btw hit beer world in liberty earlier

00z 12k NAM better for our areas! Agreed?

3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

It's way off at initialization at least the radar depiction. 

Your guesstimate for mixing to commence in our respective counties?

Watching HRRR hour by hour. 2-3 inches here at 1,600 feet I'll be happy

Latest HRRR (22z) printing out higher numbers for the catskills as opposed to earlier runs

HRRR time

Off topic , but what Android App ..paid is fine would give me the best access to the NAM, Euro, GFS, CMC, HRRR etc?

Thanks !

1 hour ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Of course the 53 MPH forward speed isn't even close to being a record, as the LI express hurricane is believed to have been moving between 60 and 70.

 

Nonetheless the dry slot will punch in and shut down most of the precip until that second low rolls in, with the precipitation likely all but over by sunrise-10 AM or so tomorrow.

 

Interesting trends for New England though, as advisory snows might be looking likelier there now.

I still say we all get in SC and even Orange County a coating to an inch

I'll gladly take 2 inches here in Liberty NY  and be happy. 

2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

GFS big jump. Pathetic within 48

00Z guidance trending better for us Catskills folks IMHO

00z suite so far looks better for Catskills IMHO @snywx @crossbowftw3 what do you think?