ovechkin

Just now, stormtracker said:

I know we don't want to hear about Boston, and I swear this is the first and only time Im going to mention it...but NAM is about to have a closed low and they are going to be annihilated. 

NYC too. Especially LI

Will need vodka shoots when the coastal still misses us and obliterates NJ and NYC

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Extended HRRR -- someone will steal 3-4".

 

0.2 QPF spread over a long time. Probably won’t amount to much. But I’ll drink the kool aid and pretend I’m getting 2-3 inches in the immediate metro.  

Just now, Ravens94 said:

SREF mean has taken a big jump up

In coastal areas, yes. The immediate metros? Not much.

Hopefully it clouds up really early tomorrow to prevent a temp spike. Light daytime snow with a temp of 33-35 won’t do didley. Hopefully it overperforms but our luck its shuts of quickly while the rest of the east coast celebrates. ☹️
 

just amazing that no matter the H5 look or position of the coastal low the precip field has allergic to the immediate metro every run. 

I’m not understanding this love affair with the Euro. The more east solutions give us a high advisory end result. The Euro adds what- a couple of inches max and along with it the knowledge that a HECS is giving us the middle finger by 100 miles? I’d rather the 3-4 and be in the same boat as everyone else than add an inch or two with the kick in the nads that will come along with it. And the other thing is this… with DC luck, the coastal taking over sooner could dry slot us quicker from the early stuff and then miss us still and we get totally whiffed.  I’m kicking the FG here and taking the easy 3. This situation is otherwise 4th and goal… from the 20.

I’m just a novice, but this sort of reminds me of January, 2005 setup. 
 

I’m pessimistic about this as well, but don’t understand the crying over the Euro when at 4-5 days out all winter it had been as accurate as Chris Blewitt. 

PHL to NYC corridor is not that far and not a huge difference from a climo standpoint. Seeing us get say 5-7 and them 6-10, no big deal. But to get 2-4 while There is a HECS 150 miles away? That does sting. If it didn’t, 12/26/10 wouldn’t be so vomit inducing around here. If it all went wide right for the entire coast no one would even remember it.  So yeah, nickeling/diming every inch PHL or NYC gets? Totally agree it doesn’t matter. But major storm vs shafted? I totally care and not afraid to admit it. 

It’s going to come back enough to bury NYC-BOS (CMC like) and give us a dusting. Just have that feeling especially since the WFT has better blocking right now than this pattern.

Not a ton of cloud cover yet. Hopefully get some radiational cooling before the drama unfolds. 

High was supposed to be 49. Ran that stop sign without slowing down. 52 fun loving degrees in DC proper.  We had snow within hours of it being 60 plus recently and rain within hours of it being in the teens so why not do this. Would be funny is DCA could pull off a third straight 2.6. 

If going into a Nina someone told me back in November that on 1/18 DCA would not only be on pace for climo, have a 6 inch event, but also ahead if BOS NYC, PHL, BWI, and even IAD, I would have signed up for that in a second. Late week falling apart sucks, but we in the immediate can’t complain. And we still may even add a little bit upcoming. Great month so far and potential is still there. 

A red tag in another thread mentioned the GFS doesn’t handle SS as well in this range. Then again the EURO is as reliable as the Caps goaltending.  Which will be correct? Calgon take me away! (1980’s commercial reference for anyone under 40.)

How much did DCA report?

24 and steady light snow in Wheaton. Thin film of white on the street and car tops. 

22/3 in Wheaton. I guess if we we went from 63 degress to 7 inches of snow in 24 hours it only makes sense to go from 22 degrees to rain in 24 hours. Oh well. At January has been active and interesting for a change. 

2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

32.2 in Colesville. Practically a furnace over there in Wheaton, eh? 

Lol. Near a busy street. 

35 in Wheaton. Still a balmy 39 downtown. Crank up the AC. 

Still a toasty 40 at the VA in the city and North Capitol and Irving. Snowcover receding as fast as my hairline. 

Temp just spiked 4 degrees in the past hour. Already exceeded the projected high for the day.

With clouds and 29 and being early January it’s nice not to hear drip drip drip 10 minutes after the storm ends. Gorgeous day all around. 

DCA record for 1/3 is 2.4 inches. Hopefully that gets broken and then some.

I just drove from Wheaton to the VA in DC. Anything paved is just wet including sidewalks and driveways. 

Steady but just light snow in Wheaton. Paved surfaces just wet.  Not very impressive so far.