yoda

1 minute ago, yoda said:

00z CMC did go east by a good amount, but does hit SNE nicely 

00z CMC did go east by a good amount, but does hit SNE nicely 

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

GFS should be an improvement. more zonal out west, look at the wind barbs over Utah

1 minute ago, Ji said:

4 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'll take 1 to 2 inches over nothing.
And 18z Euro OP ended at 90, before any snow 

Yes lets ignore eps and control since euro stopped at 90

Yeah let's ignore the trend before the 18z GFS and 00z icon of westward movement then

Just now, Ji said:

1 minute ago, yoda said:

00z RGEM at h5 84 looks pretty close to the 18z Euro at 90 IMHO 

The same 18z euro that gave us an inch of snow?

I'll take 1 to 2 inches over nothing.

And 18z Euro OP ended at 90, before any snow 

00z RGEM at h5 84 looks pretty close to the 18z Euro at 90 IMHO 

Some posters are so annoying with their trite ways

Just now, Ji said:

4 minutes ago, yoda said:

Randy 5 posting you would be a great new hobby for him 

I've known randy since 2000. Were actually good friends with the exception of a few disagreements here and there

We can tell

ICON is a clean miss for all, even SNE misses 

1 minute ago, Ji said:

3 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Boy we need a pick me up tonight

Yep...pick up another hobby

Randy 5 posting you would be a great new hobby for him 

Just now, Ji said:

2 minutes ago, yoda said:

You'd still be complaining non stop because a model took away two inches of snow from you 

If im tracking a new england blizzard for people like kevin wood to enjoy...im gonna make sure i get my moneys worth

No one is expecting a blizzard here.  We're going for 2-4/3-5... that's well within reason and chance.  If we get more, we'll luck be with us.  We all know the rules with Miller Bs

Just now, Ji said:

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Lol, guess where these images come from ..
 

If this was a miller A...the board wouldn't have derailed like it has today

You'd still be complaining non stop because a model took away two inches of snow from you 

Just now, Ji said:

3 minutes ago, yoda said:

Then turn off your computer for the night and I don't expect you to be posting in this thread again

Im on my phone you freak of nature

Then go do something else if you are so hard on us getting no snow from this 

Just now, Ji said:

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Definitive posts 120 hours out usually end up making posters look stupid 

Not when it comes to predicting no snow

Then turn off your computer for the night and I don't expect you to be posting in this thread again

Just now, mattie g said:

Not going to lose sleep over this run. Just way too different at H5 than the 12z suite overall.

Me either.  I want to see what the ensembles look like first as well

Yeah, lets see what the ensembles say about this

Yup... GFS leaving behind a bunch of energy at 93... sigh

Hmmmm... the energy out west in UT is even further west at 18z 72 compared to 12z 78... by 100 miles or so I would guess roughly

I'm going to soon have a ignored user for the first time

9 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Good luck for 18z GFS...heading home and will be on the raggedy ass subway where trains are coming every 35 hours.  So no minor league pbp from me this time. 

Don't worry!  Yoda is here!

*ducks*

I want to say I like the 18z NAM h5 at 84... even though its the NAM.... at 84... yay or nay @stormtracker?

3 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Sterling:
The region of high pressure will gradually shift east and more
centralized over the region Thursday, leading to continued dry and
cold conditions. The low will continue to shift to the east and
eventually offshore Thursday night.

Confidence has increased to trigger a slight threat for a winter
storm for all of the region (see weather.gov/lwx/winter) for Friday
into Saturday. Uncertainty remains high, but confidence in an
impactful winter storm for part of the eastern seaboard, including
the local area, is increasing.

You forgot the most important part of the afternoon AFD from LWX... which was right after that lol

A deepening trough will move from the central plains into the
eastern US Friday into Saturday. Recent guidance has this trough
becoming negatively tilted along the Atlantic seaboard, though where
exactly the region of surface low pressure tracks and the position
of the upper level trough will be critical in this pattern
given no strong blocking over the Atlantic. The H5 ridge across
Idaho is favorable for a storm along the eastern US coast.
Recent runs of the GEFS, NBM, and EPS to some extent have
trended significantly further northwest. Note the GEFS/GFS has
statistically outperformed the EPS/EURO since late October with
H5 height correlation. Caution should be given in not only the
track of the surface low, but also if the surface low tracks too
far west, there will be a region that receives lower QPF due to
being displaced from the surface low and associated dynamics
and the dynamics of being under the ULL. This is a complex
situation that will become more clear over the next few days.
Regardless, the western facing slopes of the Allegheny Front
could have a prolonged upslope snow event with this system.

I'd say 25 to 30 percent of the 12z EPS drop 4" or more at DCA

12z EPS snowmaps took a large jump just east of i95.... like 2-3" compared to 00z