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Chrisrotary12

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Everything posted by Chrisrotary12

  1. Chrisrotary12
    The latitude of the vort as it is exiting the east coast is fine. Wouldn't be a biggie, but could work. However, the orientation is all wrong. It's positively tilted which is why the surface reflection is just north of Bermuda.
  2. Chrisrotary12
    Just pushed the slush around and moved the melting glacier at end of driveway. It's kind of hot out.
  3. Chrisrotary12
    Pattern is certainly active. I see storm chances on 22, 24, 26 and 30. Any of them going to work?
  4. Chrisrotary12
    Touche.
  5. Chrisrotary12
    Blame New York…they’ve blocked the last handful of pipeline projects into New England. Endless supply of gas just down the road, but can’t get it here because New York is in the way.
  6. Chrisrotary12
    Well I guess the modeling was correct. I had a few flurries earlier but that's about it.
  7. Chrisrotary12
    For my backyard I’m expecting 3” of slop, 0.5” of rain, then drizzle & fog.
  8. Chrisrotary12
    I know. And I'm commenting on the fact that for the last storm, the models chased convection/mesolows, but in reality the system didn't and ended up further northwest.
  9. Chrisrotary12
    So you're saying its going to track further west than modeled once it doesn't chase the offshore mesolows?
  10. Chrisrotary12
    You people need to spend less time on the Miller A v B debate. A storm is a storm and this one wants to track over our heads.
  11. Chrisrotary12
    Taking the NAM verbatim, but from this image your telling me the precip wall stops at I95? The bigger issue might just be the surface dew points and it falling out as virga. Eh maybe not, its not that dry.
  12. Chrisrotary12
    The 00z Euro op verbatim is really a useless event. 2-3" of snow followed by 0.5" of rain. All in about 6-8 hours. If you wake up to 2" of snow and its washed away by noon, did it even happen?
  13. Chrisrotary12
    Starting to think we would all benefit from being 5 posted during the winter. lol
  14. Chrisrotary12
    Our Grinch storm showed up 3 weeks late it seems.
  15. Chrisrotary12
    Dude...where have you been for the last 2+ years?
  16. Chrisrotary12
    At H500, hour 54, it nearly closes off south of Long Island and then at hour 57 its wide open again. If we could get it to close completely at 57 then I think more than just P-Town would be in the game.
  17. Chrisrotary12
    Isn't the GFS rain verbatim for Friday? Edit: to start, then the lower atmosphere cools enough. SFC might need some work.
  18. Chrisrotary12
    Parade of storms, but verbatim none of them actually have a good high to the north so they're all questionable in SNE. I chuckled when in my head I went: whiff, cutter, NNE, mixed event, mixed event, whiff.
  19. Chrisrotary12
    Maybe we can get this to cut to Buffalo and we get severe?
  20. Chrisrotary12
    Coasts of Lake Ontario?
  21. Chrisrotary12
    For those of us who would prefer this not track up the Hudson or CT River valley...what trends do you think we should keep an eye out for in future runs? Besides the obvious of a storm being present. The whole trough axis 100 miles east, weaker northern stream diving in, greater or less spacing between the southern and northern streams?
  22. Chrisrotary12
    GFS was really the first model to sniff out the significance of the Friday system. Perhaps its the 1st to sniff out the strength of Monday?
  23. Chrisrotary12
    I clicked over the Dakotas.
  24. Chrisrotary12
    Anyone see the 2nd analog for hour 108 via the CIPs analog site?
  25. Chrisrotary12
    Our best chance is for the Friday ocean storm to be a dud in my opinion. Sets the stage better for Sunday.
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