Looks like it... low was just before midnight
http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDCA/2013/12/22/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA&theprefset=SHOWMETAR&theprefvalue=1
Its possible... MAV guidance has been doing well for highs but bad for lows, reverse is true for MET. MAV says it is a record, MET says no. Depends on how fast it radiates tonight.
In central NJ the benchmark ice storm was Jan 7 1994. Very pretty. Was lucky to not lose power but lots did. Would like to see something like it again... Including the not losing power part of course
Here are the odds for all months:
November - 2%
December - 14%
January - 32%
February - 33%
March - 18%
April - 3%
That adds up to a bit over 100 because I counted the cross-over storms between months once for each month (double count).
Someone was aghast that PHL might get their biggest snowfall in March. So, I put together these stats to show, its not *that* uncommon.
1884-1885 6.9 on Feb 24-25
1885-1886 9.3 on Feb 3-4
1886-1887 5.0 on Jan 5-6
1887-1888 10.5 on Mar 12
1888-1889 2.0 on Feb 25
1889-1890 3.0 on Mar 31-Apr 1
1890-1891 3.5 on Mar 3
1891-1892 6.0 on Mar 16-17
1892-1893 10.4 on Jan 5-6
1893-1894 4.3 on Feb 25-26
1894-1895 7.3 on Feb 7-8
1895-1896 3.3 on Mar 23-24
1896-1897 7.1 on Dec 16
1897-1898 4.5 on Jan 10
1898-1899 17.7 on Feb 12-13 1899-1900 11.2 on Feb 17-18
1900-1901 3.2 on Jan 25
1901-1902 11.0 on Feb 17
1902-1903 6.8 on Feb 16-17
1903-1904 6.8 on Jan 29-30
1904-1905 9.1 on Jan 24-25
1905-1906 6.0 on Feb 8-9
1906-1907 12.5 on Feb 4-5
1907-1908 6.8 on Jan 23-24
1908-1909 6.0 on Dec 22-23
1909-1910 21.0 on Dec 25-26
1910-1911 9.2 on Dec 5-6
1911-1912 4.7 on Jan 12
1912-1913 7.5 on Dec 24
1913-1914 8.0 on Feb 13-14
1914-1915 19.4 on Apr 3-4
1915-1916 6.6 on Feb 2-3
1916-1917 7.6 on Mar 3-4
1917-1918 10.2 on Jan 27-28
1918-1919 3.0 on Mar 14
1919-1920 6.0 on Feb 4-5
1920-1921 7.0 on Feb 20
1921-1922 12.3 on Jan 27-28
1922-1923 5.8 on Feb 6-7
1923-1924 6.8 on Apr 1-2
1924-1925 6.7 on Jan 2-3
1925-1926 9.3 on Feb 9-10
1926-1927 5.3 on Jan 15-16
1927-1928 10.4 on Jan 28-29
1928-1929 8.3 on Feb 20-21
1929-1930 2.6 on Dec 23
1930-1931 2.1 on Dec 23
1931-1932 4.7 on Mar 21
1932-1933 8.4 on Feb 11
1933-1934 7.8 on Feb 25-26
1934-1935 14.8 on Jan 22-23
1935-1936 6.2 on Dec 29-30
1936-1937 3.5 on Mar 11
1937-1938 3.6 on Feb 20
1938-1939 7.2 on Nov 26-27
1939-1940 7.8 on Feb 14-15
1940-1941 15.1 on Feb 28-Mar 1
1941-1942 4.5 on Jan 4
1942-1943 2.9 on Dec 9
1943-1944 4.8 on Mar 4-5
1944-1945 7.7 on Jan 15-16
1945-1946 9.2 on Dec 19
1946-1947 10.6 on Feb 20-21
1947-1948 8.1 on Feb 4-5
1948-1949 7.4 on Dec 19
1949-1950 0.9 on Feb 1
1950-1951 1.8 on Jan 30-31
1951-1952 6.0 on Mar 1
1952-1953 7.1 on Mar 8
1953-1954 10.0 on Jan 10-11
1954-1955 3.9 on Feb 1-2
1955-1956 8.7 on Mar 18-19
1956-1957 2.0 on Jan 14-15
1957-1958 13.0 on Feb 15-16
1958-1959 2.9 on Jan 26-27
1959-1960 8.2 on Mar 3-4
1960-1961 14.6 on Dec 11-12
1961-1962 6.8 on Mar 6
1962-1963 4.4 on Jan 26
1963-1964 7.2 on Jan 12-13
1964-1965 6.6 on Jan 10
1965-1966 8.3 on Jan 29-30
1966-1967 12.7 on Dec 24-25
1967-1968 4.9 on Nov 30
1968-1969 4.6 on Feb 19-20
1969-1970 5.1 on Dec 25-26
1970-1971 5.5 on Dec 31-Jan 1
1971-1972 3.7 on Feb 19-20
1972-1973 Trace on many dates
1973-1974 6.0 on Feb 8
1974-1975 4.6 on Feb 4-5
1975-1976 6.9 on Mar 9
1976-1977 4.4 on Jan 14
1977-1978 13.6 on Feb 6-7
1978-1979 14.3 on Feb 18-19
1979-1980 5.2 on Jan 4-5
1980-1981 8.8 on Mar 5 (my birthday!)
1981-1982 9.1 on Jan 13-14
1982-1983 21.3 on Feb 11-12
1983-1984 7.3 on Mar 8-9
1984-1985 3.5 on Jan 17
1985-1986 4.0 on Feb 11
1986-1987 8.8 on Jan 22
1987-1988 3.9 on Jan 25-26
1988-1989 5.1 on Jan 6
1989-1990 4.6 on Nov 22-23
1990-1991 6.4 on Dec 27-28
1991-1992 2.1 on Mar 22
1992-1993 12.0 on Mar 13-14
1993-1994 5.6 on Feb 8-9
1994-1995 8.8 on Feb 3-4
1995-1996 30.7 on Jan 7-8
1996-1997 3.9 on Mar 31-Apr 1
1997-1998 0.5 on Jan 23-24
1998-1999 4.8 on Mar 14-15
1999-2000 8.5 on Jan 25
2000-2001 9.0 on Dec 30
2001-2002 4.0 on Jan 19-20
2002-2003 18.7 on Feb 16-17
2003-2004 4.8 on Dec 5-6
2004-2005 12.6 on Jan 22-23
2005-2006 12.0 on Feb 11-12
2006-2007 4.3 on Feb 13-14
2007-2008 3.2 on Feb 22
2008-2009 9.0 on Mar 1-2
2009-2010 28.5 on Feb 5-6
2010-2011 15.1 on Jan 26-27
2011-2012 2.3 on Jan 21
2012-2013 1.5 on Jan 25
2013-2014 13.5 on Jan 21