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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. The thermals were mostly ok for us. Little bit less precipitation but still a solid look.
  2. Snow totals will be lower in WNC this run. Less moisture and warm nose more pronounced.
  3. HRRR is coming in warmer mid levels with the sleet line about 50 miles north of 18Z so far
  4. I worked for Danville Parks and Rec for about 4 years. I might know you!.
  5. These things are normally true- 1. The initial front end thump of snow is stronger than modeled and puts down at least an inch or 2 more than forecasted. 2. The warm nose sets up somewhere within 30 miles of I 85. 3. Heavier precip could mean sleet and snow while lighter returns yield freezing rain. 4. The snow starts a few hours before and ends a couple hours before models show it.
  6. NWS leans heavily on the NAM. If the 00Z NAM trends less amped, I bet they adjust again.
  7. The SREF increased totals from the previous run. I expect the next NAM to be snowier.
  8. It's still on an island but it moved towards the other solutions
  9. NAM is still amped up but maybe slightly less this run.
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