MotoWeatherman

38 minutes ago, Hvward said:

 

No kidding the NAM is extremely bullish. Even has near a half in a KAVL.

 

This is giving me the itch to make a trip to Beech Wednesday

12z NAM and GFS both really upped the ante for late Wednesday into Thursday.  Solid 3+" for most above 4k feet.

Got about 2.5 inches her at 4650 on Beech.  

Good luck to all tomorrow.  I'll be living this one out in Dahlonega GA but checking my cams on Beech. 

Covered again and coming down decent.  Lol

16 minutes ago, WarmNose said:

I’m staying at the top of sugar..probably 5300 feet..it’s a different world up here..3k nam looks interesting for tomorrow. Might squeak out 3-6”

Nice.   Here over on Beech at 4650.  Not trying to be a party pooper but the 3k NAM often overdoes NW flow type snow events. 

Grandfather Mountain poking thru the clouds right before sunset.

2 minutes ago, BhamParker said:

How do you  WNC mountain folks feel about the ULL situation tomorrow?

For your area maybe half inch in thinking.  1-2 for the northern mtns.  Hope I'm wrong though and you get more. 

Just now, Tyler Penland said:

Aaaand we're over to rain. About right for this winter.

Rain?  Where?  

3 minutes ago, BretWheatley said:

Pouring snow here in Fletcher. Amazing how the NAM won out. 

If the NAM holds within 24 hours of an event, it's usually on to something the globals are missing.  

Latest HRRR for around 11am showing decent activity in the mountains.  I personally like using the HRRR if it's within a 6 hour time frame.

HRRR still looking decent for higher elevations tomorrow.   Latest run tweaks precip west a bit.  This is 1z run. 

Snowing at a decent rate here on Beech.  Temp is below freezing and the ground was still covered from the other day. 

Meanwhile the 0z Euro is a complete whiff to the South.  Lol

Still coming down at a good clip tonight.  Smallest of streamers on the GSP radar right on top of me. Lol

33 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said:

Any word on Banner Elk area?  

Just flakes flying.  Nothing on the ground.  Got about 2 inches at 4650 on Beech.

6 hours ago, AsheCounty48 said:

Because that would be the biggest snow in Boone this season so I dont believe it yet lol. That and while everyone else has had snow this evening, we've barely gotten a couple of flurries.

Lol.   And Boone will probably strike out again due to temps.  I think you will have to climb above 4k feet to see the 2-3inch amounts. 

Surprised no one is talking about tomorrow (Monday).  Both NAM and GFS really juiced up the northern MTN with a solid 1-3 inches.

Totally dumping here on Beech. 

31 minutes ago, SnoJoe said:

A little bit of everything falling here. Temp is at 31.4 but has been rising slowly since 4 am. I still have some snow on the ground from last weekend so it's hard to tell but I don't think much of this is sticking. Looks like it'll be all rain in a hour or two.

If everything goes as planned that heavier batch moving in from TN should turn back to snow and end as snow before it all moves out sometime after 3pm. 

26 and almost an inch already here at 4650 on Beech Mtn.  Made it up for this deal.

So far at least a half inch here at 4650 on Beech.  Maybe we can eek out an inch. 

29.6 here on Beech with snow flying and the ground covered. 

33 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

33° and nickel sized flakes flying currently.

Same here on Beech.  Starting to stick. 

Easily my best snow rates yet.  Coming down at a good clip with nickel size flakes.  Radar looks good to our north as that next batch of moisture moves south out of VA.  850s will cool throughout the day which should increase snow efficiency and we get rid of the less than ideal conditions for flake production with low level moisture.