Juliancolton

Over an inch and a half here. Gives me lots of water to work with when backwashing the pool filter during these opening stages, so I'm happy about that.

I try not to, usually has bad results. The 6z NAM this morning was about two degrees off from snow in the hills around here. Thank heavens it since made a wholesale improvement to a 36F rain.

So this looks unpleasant

I picked up almost an inch last night. Heavy training showers rooted to a mesoscale convergence zone over the river. Terrible. Strongly agree about the anything-goes lawn. By no means do I knock folks who work hard on their lawns... it's an art form all its own. Not all yards are created equal though, and in mine, the interface between guests and lawn is very limited. If people only ever see it from 100 yards going by at 50 mph, green is green.

Orange and Rockland (and whatever is south of there, I think it's West Virginia) could get a pretty good dousing early this evening. PWATs are juicy and the low-level flow weak.

36F and falling under clear skies. Sneaky window of radiating before the clipper system. Maybe it'll be enough to get some flakes to the ground tomorrow morning.

Lawn needs mowing.

I went to buy a 50 lb bag of 19-19-19 at the farm supply store the other day, and it felt like I was buying contraband fresh off the boat from Colombia. Had to ask for it by name, go in the back room, and promise the guy I wans't using it on my lawn before he would sell it to me... apparently it's illegal here to broadcast ferts containing phosphorous on lawns. Looked into it a little further and the exception was if you're starting a new lawn from scratch, or can prove to the state of NY via repeated soil tests that you're below a certain threshold of P. Pretty intense.

You know what, you're right. I completely forgot about that. I'll never understand folks who are reduced to getting their kicks that way.

.79" for the event now as rain tapers off. Quite the soggy day after that brief period of warmth and sunshine mid-morning. On a side note, anyone else getting a kick out of the drama over on the NE subforum?

Loving the soundtrack of peepers and gentle rainfall.

Yeah, it got intense for a while there. WNW flow behind the monster offshore low peaked at the perfect time of day for mixing down most efficiently. It's super dry again as well - lots of spots around 60 with dews in the low-teens. Not hard to see the fire risk there.

I see we're doing the wind thing again this year.

Could be the last fair and mild day for quite a while. What's the occasion?

The 18z GFS is pretty depressing with its non-stop cold rain from Monday the 8th right through the following Saturday. It's a sketchy look for the first half of the month regardless of the specifics.

Too much sun is no good. Have to be mindful of the folks susceptible to burned scalps. The shock wave was about 30 hours slower than predicted and didn't hit until the middle of the day on Sunday, and even then it was was too weak to ignite any significant geomagnetic storming. The UP of Michigan was the furthest south from which I've seen any reports of naked-eye lights Sunday night... and that's still sort of miraculous considering the solar wind only 'jumped' to about 275 km/s.

It's starting to get a little cloudier this hour, but the sun didn't really make a huge contribution toward making it feel warm. 50/9 here now

Low dews, blue skies, brisk NW wind; feels like a crisp autumn day. Or maybe the opposite of autumn... that other season we used to have between winter and summer. I forget the name.

Couple kerosene salamanders would do the trick, if you don't mind the sound of being inside a jet engine nacelle. Some of them go up to almost a million BTU. Or, yeah... just wait until 50s and sunny tomorrow.

Snow is starting to mix in with the wind-driven rain here. The upslope precip seem pretty lackluster up the Taconics and Berks, with focus instead being the low-level convergence in the valley. HRRR has things drying out by 3-4 am, so if Brace Mtn up to Frissell and Alander are going to get the 3-7" predicted by Albany, they'd better do it quickly.

It's been a while since I've seen so many different agencies submit their model runs to the CME scoreboard. The average arrival time prediction is early afternoon, because of course. https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/CMEscoreboard/

It's been snowing like a banshee for over two hours now. The surface is just so darn warm. If this were a couple weeks ago during the cool period, I'd almost certainly have several inches on the ground by now.

Yeah, this is definitely one worth traveling for. Storm of the season in the northern ADKs.

NAM really banging the drum for terrain-enhanced snows in the Taconics and eastern Catskills on Friday night. Catamount could get a nice late-season bump.

Even as we forge ahead into the meat of meteorological spring, the winter pattern of alternating cold and rainstorms appears to continue. Thursday night could be a real deluge.