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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I’m leaning not a huge deal outside of minor stuff. Beaches of CT could get a good one.
  2. There’s enough agreement to know it’s gonna rain, but I don’t think this is gonna be a huge deal overall. They’ll probably a little bit of wind damage on the south coast or CT and over southeast mass.
  3. Also euro guidance takes that s/w over the lakes and moves it over us which blocks how far north it can get. My gut says that the main issue is keeping this further south and helping to reduce impacts, but still time i guess.
  4. Gfs is a good hit. Not sure why everyone said it’s south. Euro and AI and NAM redevelop it south of New England and then rip it back west like some guidance showed yesterday. Definitely not in agreement with the interaction of a piece of moisture NW of Jerry. Need to get euro and AI more north for anything real meaningful I think. NAM is high impact, but when is it not lol.
  5. Still 52 and breezy. Meanwhile TAN has a frost already.
  6. Well 18z gfs certainly got wetter lol. Man this storm is all over the place.
  7. Euro sucks. I hope it's just another erratic run.
  8. Euro AI not far from that, although best winds off the south coast.
  9. I saw that and was like wtf is it doing? lol.
  10. Ukie takes a piece of moisture related to Jerry and then blows up a low on it.
  11. I just thought it looked funky with the winds and precip. It was pretty nasty here, but nothing insane or anything.
  12. UKMET is wild. Big winds and 6-8" of rain on the coast lol.
  13. Yeah meh on that, lets get that S of LI.
  14. Kind of weird with the wind and precip shield. Maybe because it matures way SW of here.
  15. That was pretty much a cat 1 south of BOS.
  16. Because all hell would break loose doing anything close to classifying a system tropical near the east coast.
  17. Thinking 38-40 here, but the fake spots around me will definitely have it.
  18. It may have some warm core characteristics, but I think it falls more under a typical nor'easter vs a sub-tropical system.
  19. 6z EPS members have a bunch tucking in just south of LI. That would be a hell of a storm.
  20. 6z gfs came back more north again.
  21. AI would be pretty wild. Op runs a tiny bit less exciting, but lots of spread on ensembles.
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