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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. It's why I never get caught up with all these exotic looks 10 days out about sigma anomalies etc. We have a hell of a -AO and that PV is going to do enough that despite that AO look...send a low right up our fannies.
  2. NAM going to be a little warmer I think.
  3. Lets get DC with more snow on the season than Tolland.
  4. 6z Euro looks horrible for the weekend too.
  5. I'd pay close attn there tomorrow night. NAM has a real strong fronto sig there despite the lack luster QPF. I still would not be shocked if snow kisses to BDR-FMH corridor.
  6. You guys might be ok, it's just more dicey down here.
  7. The 6z GFS is "probably" the more likely winter scenario vs all snow. You can see at hr 150 we have a s/w that is coming SE and sort of compressing the field a bit to allow the second low underneath SNE. I'm wondering if the easiest route to a colder scenario is to cheer for that, because I feel like a full court press SE is unlikely.
  8. Hopefully the GEFS are closer to correct.
  9. Gfs works but it’s the snowiest. Not sure that will be realistic.
  10. Probably for the other thread but 1-2 or 1-3 followed by sleet and then rain is my guess.
  11. I say that because the past two weak systems have been easy to push south and colder when you have weak shortwaves. The set up this weekend is different, and it won’t be prone to those type of shifts.
  12. If Guidance at 12z tomorrow shows something like the euro, SNE is toast.
  13. Another shot for something later next week. And then ensembles have a hedge out west, but a drier look.
  14. We’ll see how today goes. I’d like to see changes starting at 12z.
  15. Do you posts those maps on your ceiling next to Jalen Hurts?
  16. Don’t worry the pics from Stowe will make up for it.
  17. It was too amped last two systems. But the other guidance isn’t exactly inspiring either for the weekend.
  18. You want to see that PV press SE but it’s allowing the weekend s/w to dig well west of us and sending in another one behind it. Not good.
  19. Its solution is within reason given this pattern. Not a fan of this weekend outside of NNE.
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