CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Lets get that a bit more south next weekend. Definitely a better trend with the blocking like Will said on the GEFS.
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I don't do the forecasting like I did a few years ago now, but I used to always quote that movie!
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Even at PYM it's snow, albeit like 34ish for awhile.
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BUFKIT is cold at BOS. PITA call.
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Yep. Hopefully planes skidding off runways and TTs off of 93.
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And then they lunge at you electronically with hurtful posts when you try to tell them a good band is coming.
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Some in NEMA get angry if you get 18 and they get 13.
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I do admire their cute battle they always have in the winter.
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I guess we'll let Ray have this one.
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Like the stronger intensification.
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Again if it comes down hard and that CCB cranks in the aftn, lower range of that certainly achievable.
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That can happen as well. Although this time, it's slightly cooler aloft here I think. But yeah south side of town can definitely have more. I saw that in March 2018 in that second event that brought the heavy wet snow.
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I wonder of that was more from a coastal front? I was thinking more like in those borderline situations. My Grandparents lived in Hyde Park on a hill and that extra 200' or so elevation and being on the southwest side of the city helped in those borderline situations. Best example was on 3/31/97. Pounding snow there while Logan was a mix for a few hours.
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I could easily see that. Inland a bit and some elevation. Well parts of Hyde Park anyways.
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Well wait a minute....depends where in Boston. You could have 2-3" at the Seaport and more than double in Hyde Park/West Roxbury.
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I think last year I did ok. I usually am conservative when it's borderline for this area. In other years I was actually on the lower side and we got more lol. For you and I, I think it's probably good to be conservative and stress the difference several miles could make. There is actually a hint of latitude being involved too.
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It comes down to rates and track. If we get 2-3hr thump and then showery crap after we won't get much. If that front end can last and maybe limit warming a bit until the CF passes, could be 6+ for sure. And then there is distance from ocean. Sometimes that is the difference between like 34-35 where it won't accumulate much to like 32-33 where it won't stack efficient, but still accumulates. All this shit to weigh in.
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You mean the forecast has been too low? Or the result has been lower than forecasted?
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Man I'm torn. What a PITA to call here.
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GFS is between 0 to -1C at 975 around BOS. That IMO should be like a 32-33 paste if it comes down good. You would think that shouldn't be a huge issue.
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And then gone again. Pattern blows. Congrats Vancouver Canada.
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That probably works well near the coast, but will fail in the interior.
