CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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New euro has been pretty good so far and it’s shown to perform well with the metrics that models are rated on. It does not mean it’s error proof though. We’ll see.
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That's my gut, but I'm not all in yet.
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That is one hell of a model battle.
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Euro still way out there.
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Would be a lot of taint to BOS verbatim, but the euro is also a lot of cirrus too.
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Move 20 miles NW.
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That’s definitely Ray revenge storm.
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I’m just entertaining solutions at this point. Will be good to get a storm and break up the mundane weather for years. Not much to add other than it’s all or nothing I think. Don’t see much in between.
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Can we just get that near Nantucket and everyone wins?
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I think I would hibernate for a year.
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On this run
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Tucks into Ants cruiser.
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Gonna be some rain here. Much warmer.
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Will be biggun and a bit warmer.
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I think a scraper is a low prob. Like Will said, it's all or nothing really. Non-linear response. Either it happens or it doesn't. A scraper is not, non-zero....but I don't see that as an option that has a good chance of happening.
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EPS members aren't exactly well dispersed. They're all way offshore which is a little concerning.
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It’s always hard on ensemble mean, but ideally you want to see it a bit more buckled and definitely not positively tilted like the earlier time stamps.
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It improved, but I was hoping for something a bit better.
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I was just going by the mean, I have not seen individual members. Don’t yell at me yell at the model.
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EPS mean did not look great to me
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Yep. Anyways, just BS topics at this point. We'll see what the euro shows. My guess is that it drags the srn energy a bit.
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That's ideal for the Catskills....even for you I don't think you'd want that.
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Still borderline on the coast for a time, but we'll take what we can get. Ideally getting this to bomb a little more east and curl towards the islands might be better...but as long as this doesn't tuck into Anthony's precinct.
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Yeah that is a great signal on the GEFS.
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This isn't Feb 2013. I get a Jan 2011 vibe a bit with that precip distribution and temps...but that was more nrn stream I believe.
