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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. The land friction will probably cause some issues with wobbling etc for a few hours.
  2. Needs to get away from the Yucatan for more rapid strengthening. Later today and tonight.
  3. That area from ATL to the N and NE are gonna get a shitload of rain. Big issues there I think especially foothills and mtns.
  4. Yeah was going to say, visible shows convection wrapping around, but IR kind of shows the illusion of the center closer to land and south. Microwave imagery helps here.
  5. Regarding the pressure, it's also possible the environmental air pressure is relatively low, which is why we have a 979mb TS.
  6. East side of this has a great outflow look.
  7. Some of the outer bands are moving SW so it helps give the appearance that shear is lessening. However, looking at satellite and the deeper convection to the west, it does appear dry air and shear are lessening a bit.
  8. Seems like it will at least clip the Yucatan. 18z tropicals kind of show this. More interested in what happens in the 24 hrs after.
  9. NHC cone also catches the NE Yucatán tip. What’s the issue here? I don’t see any wild forecasts from anybody.
  10. For central air we'd have to do all the roughing in first and then the condensers etc. Probably over 30K. Maybe less for mini splits, but I'm having trouble figuring out where to put the downstairs one. I also don't want those plastic 4" conduits running all over my outside walls. I know there are big state credits. I could do it, just not at the moment. Need a new fence and siding first.
  11. @wxeyeNH I noticed that too. It's occurring after the early posts about alignment. We could see a new center develop closer to the convection..but IMO things aren't close to taking off quite yet.
  12. My condo had it, but this house I am in now does not. Probably will do mini splits or something like that one day. But it will cost a fortune.
  13. It's mostly night that determines. 80s and low dews work during day. At night house stays warm. Need 50s at night to turn AC off.
  14. I put it in too, but any dews near 60 and it’s AC. Probably can uninstall this weekend.
  15. Mini splits and central AC are great. But I think some get off and consider it a badge of honor to be earlier in uninstallation. In this warming world those days get later and later, but some won’t accept it.
  16. Shear is still impacting this. The oblong shape on satellite is a dead giveaway. The euro seems to show this as it seems like it wants to have an eye open to the SW along its entire journey. Hence the weaker pressure. It will go over explosive fuel, but I’m not sure how shear will try to counteract that. It is important to note that some models are predicting RI. Haven’t had a chance to look at SHIPS guidance, but the 700-500RH and RI statistics are good pieces to look at on SHIPS.
  17. Never will understand people who don’t want a nice cool house to live and sleep in.
  18. First week? Must be a lot of smelly and sticky sheets. I’ve run it as recently as a few days ago.
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