Shear is still impacting this. The oblong shape on satellite is a dead giveaway.
The euro seems to show this as it seems like it wants to have an eye open to the SW along its entire journey. Hence the weaker pressure.
It will go over explosive fuel, but I’m not sure how shear will try to counteract that. It is important to note that some models are predicting RI. Haven’t had a chance to look at SHIPS guidance, but the 700-500RH and RI statistics are good pieces to look at on SHIPS.