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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. It was a small sized storm until last minute really. That helped. But I think Port Charlotte got it real good.
  2. Sunday. Could get decent rain as NAM shows. It's more dynamic anyways...,maybe not days of rain, but eventually we'll get some storms.
  3. Pattern looks more active down the road. Just leftover Stein now.
  4. These were big boys too. I think that might be the most impressive part of Milton.
  5. Octsteiner. Plenty of rain to come in winter so don’t fear.
  6. Many models had strong winds up around 925 or so just NW of the center. Those come with a rapid wind shift right into the east coast of FL later on.
  7. As this transitions, you can see how the massive convergence N of the center and extended NE is going to absolutely soak I-4 corridor. Basically like a stalled warm front where all this juice is getting forced up and over the boundary.
  8. They definitely dodged a bullet regarding the surge. That would have been catastrophic.
  9. It’s going to go near Sarasota it seems. Give or take
  10. Yeah I don't see that really being reduced much at this point.
  11. It should continue to weaken from here on out. But as many noted, the wind field will continue to expand.
  12. Winds might be more NNW there which would help vs due west or southwest.
  13. HRRR with a real nasty swath of winds coming in on the back side of this right into Fort Myers from the west. That will certainly pile up water.
  14. Just saw that. Impressive. They’ve been soaked. I’m still Steining….yeah yeah yeah…
  15. Early 18z tropical models tugged a bit south. Would put Port Charlotte to Fort Myers in a bad spot.
  16. Milton was probably ready to take off earlier, but perhaps a bit of a hostile environment relatively speaking. But as usual in weather, once you tweak a few things here or there, it can be off to the races. So in this case, perhaps a bit less shear and a higher RH environment was all it needed. I know models did show strengthening.
  17. Decent move ESE too. But the eye rapidly clear out. He's going to town again.
  18. At least the last two weeks have had some tropical interests to spice things up...but good lord the last two years have featured total meteorological ennui.
  19. Those tracks would be real bad for the TBA.
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