CoastalWx

September is fine. It can grow in November even.

Those stats are hard to comprehend, but it happened. Who knows, maybe it never gets that bad in our lifetime....but ride the weenie express now. You never know when it derails.

Yeah there is definitely that side too. I was just coming at it more from the standpoint of how the lack of large events stood out at that time. Perhaps using 1991 would be a better year after that dearth of large snowstorms. My coworker said in Woburn he went in between 1984-1992 without a storm more than 12". Only one storm in early Jan 87 gave 12" on the button. One came close in 1988. Still, think about that. We get those at least once a year now practically. So when the T-blizz's of the world start to complain when we regress, one phrase should stick into their minds. We tried to tell them.

09-10 sucked in the new climo regime, but I’ll take two double digits storms if this were 1988.

It's over Johhny....It's over.

Not gonna happen, James.

Yeah. What’s the Australian have?

You should always have a plan living on the EC. That’s a given. But as john said, even if the gfs is right...:I don’t see something where a significant tropical system will cause widespread issues that some here are worried about.

Let’s get a 2010 again where Tamarack was climbing coconut palms in New Sharon.

It’s not similar. I shouldn’t have to go into details why.

Give it up guys. Next week is out to sea.

That was the winter of no cold air. Not surprising given the ENSO state, but a few noteworthy interior snow bombs. I was at PSU in NE PA at 1600' and we had over a foot. Another goodie was in April. Surprise paste job over 6" before Easter.

Next week will only possibly give a rain chance. Flow is not enough to bring something into SNE.

Euro brew but offshore

He's terrible. I can nail a winter if I say minus this storm or that storm. I've seen his tweets and forecasts.

2015 was more +PNA which is ideal. Tough to lose out with that, Steve. I know you like the cold supply from a -EPO and as Will said...we take that over +EPO. But, you do play with fire and it's easy for things to go wrong in our neck of the woods. Just hoping for a decent Atlantic.

Yeah Steve's -EPO can be great and all, but nothing like seeing a trough dig over the western high Plains. We know what that means, the kitchen sink many times. Maybe this year will be different in the Atlantic.

It is amazing how we can't buy a prolonged -NAO. And to think about what was thrown about in 2010. I heard some theories as to why we have had some -AO/-NAO summers...but the whole sea ice argument only mildly seems plausible to me.

Euro seasonal looks to have a decent Pacific regarding ridging out west, and especially NW Canada and AK. Verbatim it has a strong signal for a +NAO. We'll see if/how that changes going forward.

It’s a good topic. Who knows what and how man-kind is messing with all this stuff. We’ve certainly had a fortunate run.

John sometimes gets sensitive with this stuff.

Boy that's a tough question. If an increase of 1C holds 7% more water vapor and we have been increasing 0.15C-ish per decade across the CONUS (give or take here).....I don't know how you can assert that into snowfall. To me it's more at the mercy of hemispheric nuances that are dictating storm track and temps. Obviously things don't work linearly in nature. In other words, you can't just say an increase in temps by X-amount means an increase in snowfall by Y-amount. To some degree there likely is an element of AGW...but I remain in the camp that our fortunate run is a result of nuances far beyond AGW.

Non existent for SNE this year. Like most years. Doesn’t look like a pattern conducive for a SNE hit or even glance.

As a side note to my earlier comment, pretty sure I read westerlies in ENSO areas have been rather persistent and anomalous more than expected last several years. Lack of easterlies. Pretty sure that was it. Might also help explain the Pacific temps too. I’ll have to find it.