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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    But I’d say greater than 15:1 possible after it cools slightly from like 6z-12z in higher elevations.
  2. CoastalWx
    Ratios likely will be less than 10:1 initially, especially south of ORH. Even Kevin will be slop for a bit. As temps cool to 31-32 near 1K, ratios should be higher as lift goes into the DGZ. Not sure how high as layer near 925 is still mild for a time.
  3. CoastalWx
    Strong isentropic lift and some steep lapse rates aloft so that will help offset the typical srly flow/low qpf results one would expect. So I guess the question is where roughly in longitude does this occur? Near NJ/NYC or further east?
  4. CoastalWx
    I’ll sell the Reggie clowns here.
  5. CoastalWx
    He’s sweating 2” vs 4”+ and I’m raining. My heart bleeds for him.
  6. CoastalWx
    Kevin, I agree with Will. I think you’re good overall. Stop worrying and enjoy what falls. Maybe not the jack, but it will be nice event where you are I think.
  7. CoastalWx
    I don’t know if anybody has noticed this, but a lot of southern states lately have had snow. Most recent is coastal North Carolina. Right near Wilmington.
  8. CoastalWx
    I’ll go for that tuck lol. But yeah, one of these days we need to catch a break. Next week seems like an opportunity, although I think the odds are sort of stacked against our area.
  9. CoastalWx
    Maybe not, but it’s unstable aloft and could really help to wring it out. Plus SW flow is good for you. I’d like to see more confidence in guidance as we still have some variability.
  10. CoastalWx
    Winds are south initially then go SW and that’s probably when Kevin flips.
  11. CoastalWx
    It will be a struggle I think there. Even Kevin is on the line but he’s good for 2-4 I believe. Congrats on being “surprised” again.
  12. CoastalWx
    NAM is dam snowy ORH county again. Kevin on the line, but does flip.
  13. CoastalWx
    Hrrr is kind of warm in CT but gets the nrn ORH hills good. Looks like after 12z some areas could flip to snow and possible squalls on cold front.
  14. CoastalWx
    Those are garbage. You should use the HREF instead.
  15. CoastalWx
    Euro is interesting next week. Potential mixed event
  16. CoastalWx
    You’re good for now.
  17. CoastalWx
    Euro really cut back. Friend just texted me an image. Reggie ftw?
  18. CoastalWx
    Yeah, I think you’re good for 2 to 3 at least anyways. Maybe four if it works out.
  19. CoastalWx
    Seems like overnight guidance is more progressive and further east. Would help areas more borderline near 495.
  20. CoastalWx
    It’s warm initially so I’m screwed there. Was just hoping for a period of snow as it ends. Not expecting accumulation but some flakes wound be good.
  21. CoastalWx
    Nah.
  22. CoastalWx
    Pretty wild on nam
  23. CoastalWx
    I won’t do it
  24. CoastalWx
    Wtf 3K even flips me. Getting the post frontal look.
  25. CoastalWx
    Pretty wild on qpf nctrl CT to ORH but mild near Kevin in the beginning.
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