Wonder how far SE the boundary will go. The air aloft is beginning to warm near 925, but pressure falls may drive a shallow boundary further south. At least that part was good to second guess. Not the models warming to Winni.
LOL last two weeks were pretty bad. Today is interesting, but I don’t think it makes up for it. First two weeks are great. Maybe even to 20th in spots.
Yeah that’s why I don’t necessarily buy a big warm up to MHT. It’s not like it’s a rotting airmass slowly dying from latent heat release from freezing rain. Good dews from snow areas moving SW into this system. Eventually winds above 950 will advecting mild air in and maybe it gets a tad warmer near NH border later on? But I’m not sure I buy that at all from MHT-ASH.
I’m not sold on that. I’m not sure that it goes above 32 near MHT. Maybe closer to MA border? I could be wrong, but just my gut. Perhaps maybe at tail end when it mixes out a tad.