CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Where is the crash meme.
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No sign of it on euro. Methinks we sell.
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Drops a few here too.
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22.6
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Extended weenie RAP (which means little I think) has that feature too.
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It's wicked impressive. The LLJ convergence shows up nicely near here on the QPF maps too. Hopefully we can thump before the mix comes.
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That's a 6 hr blizzard on the canadian lol there. Not kidding.
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The Para looks like it drops some S+ in a similar fashion. I wonder if that strong WAA near 700 has a conv element to it. I noticed the soundings steepen a bit too.
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I was referring to the QPF dropped over us.
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Here is another thought for those peeps near the coast like Jerry. My guess is that 1) Models will not be cold enough on the cold side of the CF and 2) probably collapses south quicker Tuesday morning. So those that change over, Tuesday morning could have a nasty refreeze back to FZDZ and/or snow.
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Looks like a dump to me. Don't fall in love with the clown maps.
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Only thing that caught my eye was the DGZ drying out after like 4z or so. So it would need to be hours of big lift from 850 isentropic glide and CF stuff which could do it I suppose. You'd think that you could nickel and dime your way to 18+ on the cold side of the CF into Wed,
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That weird hole is just a figment of the model I think. I didn't see a reason for that. The islands off of FMH aren't getting more snow than Blue Hill.
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Definitely for you. Almost looks like convection with very strong forcing
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GFS goes nuts. Massive dump.
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Purple first and then blue!
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Ha, the changeover to a driving sleet to snow event Tuesday night is real cute on the RGEM.
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We'll have to see how the rest of the guidance does. It's possible the first round is like 10-12" in the all snow areas and then maybe a couple more into Tuesday night. Wherever that CF sets up is good for an extra few easily though in local spots.
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That trough just goes nowhere into Tuesday night with another s/w and maybe some more -SN breaking out.
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NAM tries to sink H5 SW a bit in response to a sharp s/w Tuesday. Lets see if that rejuvenates anything.
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I like that shift SE with H5 too.
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At H5, looks like a bit more of a streak near Maine. At least through hr 18, might be a little south.
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And don’t look past later Tuesday to see what tries to spin north like the euro tried to show.
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The March 2013 storm did that here. Temperatures were great for all snow and it just piled on. It would be the same here if it stayed near or below 32. Probably double what I may expect. Even in the spring or fall with these cutoffs, usually a big liquid event with these looks when they last 18-24hrs.
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I could see 3-4” at the beaches and easily double that on the other side of town.
