CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I think it's real, but I sort of envision the low developing just offshore and moving north as an elongated low dueling out those features before bombing near the Cape. The GFS track or a bit west of that looks reasonable.
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Yeah those are the areas I mentioned yesterday. I sort of see this moving due north and crossing the Cape. Maybe even near PYM. Hope not over PYM, but just my feeling. We’ll see.
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Yeah, but don’t expect 14-15 to happen. We’ll have a window for some snow chances and colder weather. Some signs a more Nina look happens later in the month with maybe a drop in the PNA, but most guidance maintains a decent ridge in the EPAC. That’s about all I can say. Can’t say if it’s a snowy period or not.
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The days of the euro king in the 2-4 day range definitely have not occurred. I’m sure gfs will still have its issues, but the days of euro yore are gone for the time being. Still weigh EPS more than GEFS.
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Euro will come west in the end.
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The gfs track could happen. Bombogenesis near the Cape. Still think Ptype is the issue for me, but that would work even here.
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Come with me my sheep, for I am thy shepherd......
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Lol. I remember some of those graphics.
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You had about 8” Of sand.
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Given the s/w passing over the Gulf Stream, I’m sure the NAM will do something stupid over the next several runs.
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My opinion is routed on meteorological features though. I’m not trying to set up some preemptive stance to psyche me out on a fear or something like that. Dryslot mentioned those features. I don’t see an OTS solution at the moment.
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Yep. Fast, ejecting s/w is fighting it which might be a good thing otherwise it’s up the Hudson.
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Well you know where I stand. If I’m wrong so be it. But OTS with flurries is the least of my worry.
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The regional warfare is strong lol.
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The mean looked good for many. Close to the BM I saw. S/w near and just under us too.
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Take it off the rack, if it’s whack, put it back.
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Let’s get it to blow up and everyone happy.
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You’re fine there.
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Maybe cape but not 95.
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Two competing things I see. Low pressure feeling tugged by the strong S/W and the baroclinic zone off of Hatteras. It’s a matter of which is dominant.
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It won’t whiff. Bigger issue is Ptype.
