CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Because it seemed like you didn’t even see that look as being potentially warm. Clearly it is on guidance.
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Well hold on there, you shouldn't be forecasting by just saying what is coming is the same shit as what we had. It's a wetter look and we have some chances from now to the 10th. My worry is that the period after could be dicey. But maybe it works out....nobody knows at this point. If that shifts SE a bit then we roll in the snow. I'm just not excited about it currently.
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Obviously I was joking about outdoor seating on 2/14. I'm surprised that somehow was interpreted at factual. I don't know..that orientation scares me. Seems like we've seen that last couple of winters. I don't debate up to the 10th has a chance.
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GFS looks nice from Ineeddongs to Ray on north. Ticked south.
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No I mean compare.
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No, I mean apples to apples. Was looking at srfc T anomalies.
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But that suggests a bias in interpretation. I'm not being biased. Not a huge fan of that orientation. Maybe it works out, it's happened before.
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Maybe if the voodoo MJO is right we get some more +PNA action in March?
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I don't mind it up until the 10th or so. After that I don't like it. That's all I am saying. I don't know why that is being argued. It's JMO.
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Weeniebell's temp anomalies aren't really telling a good picture. TT has a better scale.
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Yeah that's helped us a lot. Maybe something between the 6th to 10th....but I don't get that feeling of "yeah we need to watch this.." Usually if there is a good signal we certainly talk about it. I'm just being a straight shooter. Trust me, nobody more than me wants/needs this as a distraction.
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I don't think it does in the 11-15 day. Just hope next week works out.
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You're hammered. I've commented on here many times when the EPS looked good. Get the snowflakes out of your eyes.
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Just open up a model.
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So am I. But we've had a clear shift to warmer over the last several days.
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Pretty good agreement though. We'll see, that's how I'm leaning. I just hope next week works out for something.
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It's unfortunate the ridge of course aligns SW-NE over AK because that would be a good overrunning look in the 11-15 day. But that orientation might allow for Tips troughs folding into CA and then screwing us. Just hope later next week works out. Maybe a few inches here and there from Rt 2 on north prior to that.
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Couple threats and then later in the 11-15 looks warm. Same crap.
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Outdoor seating by Valentines Day?
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Looks like trash to me. Maybe a window or two where we need to say the rosary for an advisory event and then trough retros and we warm.
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Good luck
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Maybe a penny here or there?
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Looks like we had a really good spot last night, but slept through it. Parts of the south side of town got over half inch.
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Yeah decent run verbatim but iffy. It’s just one op run too.
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Decent run now near NH border. Large shift south but then again 18z was a large shift north.
