CoastalWx

I could see a window where you paste prior to dawn into mid morning.

For you and everyone else, it comes down to the mid levels. I sort of envision this massive firehose pivoting up and flashing you and others maybe to snow. But then that arc pivots and rots up near rt 2 and North leaving you with precip but shitty lift. They’ll be that other band maybe later Friday from an occluded back bent mid level front. We’ll see what 00z does.

It’s close but possible. Small window I think. Then maybe later Friday? But you’ll need rates since it will be daylight. I haven’t looked too hard where you are. Need to see soundings.

5 days to decide how to dispose?

Man what a time to hide some evidence in the mtns of srn VT.

Might get a band Friday aftn near Kev and most especially west into the Berks, but those clown maps gonna clown.

H7 over the pike. Sell south of pike.

Do your hands feel like two balloons yet?

Any hands reaching through the dirt and hoping to clear a space for air will be just completely buried.

It's a clown map and sell 10:1.

I mean even the EPS has some chilly air. Anyways, I mentioned New England and not Southern New England knowing how difficult it would be...but still.

That's some decent cold coming at us on some guidance later in the month. Some areas of New England won't be done.

At least they all agree that drought talk can cease now.

LOL yeah. You definitely need to get out of the mid winter box and more on what needs to go right. A low tucking into eastern and SE areas wouldn't be easy in mid winter to get good snows in many areas outside of nrn ORH, nevermind April. But man, Mitch's area looks to be near ground zero. Starts to deform and pivot there with a good firehose.

I think you need it more SE for 4" or more.

Still not a fan of the H7 look south of the pike. I feel like Berks into VT FTW on that. Decent back bent Wf sig there.

Hunchie on his way to voicing anger at town plowing again. Congrats.

RGEM has that weenie band, but more towards Dave and the Monads.

Yeah, I don't know. This isn't mid winter. Everything needs to go right for something more than an inch or two in low spots. Hell even an inch or two in low spots isn't easy this time of year.

NAM really pivots the fronto into the Berks, but does have that weenie band area from near Kevin and SW of him in CT to the Berks from a back bent mid level WF. However, it would really need to be a narrow area of deep lift and RH.

Regardless of low positions etc, I noticed a lot of the "snow" depiction on ptype is generated by lift below 700mb and temps warmer than -10C. I feel like that would be tough to do much more than whiten the mulch beds at times. I think you really need to be in the big QPF/firehose for dynamic flippage to snow where the lift is deep, and DGZ is saturated. Otherwise, I can't see a whole lot of stickage where the lift is shallow. There might be one exception. Some models generate a narrow band on the W and SW side of the low when it wraps up. Probably just a massively tilted back bent warm front. Perhaps some areas removed from the main firehose forcing could get some accumulation in that spot?

He's good for several inches probably lol.

GFS H7 low goes over hubby. Good luck with that.

It didn't move a whole lot verbatim. I'm looking now. Still goes into SNE. It maybe moved a bit east, but H5 goes over your fanny practically. You need that off the coast of LI IMO for anything siggy.

Sweets are tough. My kid’s Easter baskets are killing me lol. But I’ve been exercising more than I have in years so I’ve slowly dropped a lot 12lbs but have plateaued. Just trying to make some better decisions all around for me personally. Started going down a rabbit hole I didn’t want to go in. For me mentally, I can’t wait until later May and beyond when the weather is more conducive for outdoors.