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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I think we touched on that. Both the ridge to the east and trough to the west are not typical for us to get canes. So you don’t have that massive pressure gradient like in previous storms. So it’s sort of on its own as far as analogs. I think that is why wind field appears much tighter compared to other storms in the past.
  2. However if Henri rapidly strengthened to a cat 2, I’d be a lot more concerned.
  3. The winds on guidance don’t really show this. Maybe because normally we have a deep trough and low pressure west of the storm and a ridge to the east. This causes the pressure gradient to really tighten up on the east side. Sandy, Irene, Isaias etc all had this. We don’t have that with Henri. Henri looks to be a low end cat 1ish weakening before landfall as it slows over cooler waters.
  4. If this hooks into LI and NYC most of the area sees very little outside of CT and RI coasts. There is no ET transition and wind field is tight and not expanding. Kind of yawn solution.
  5. Nam close to NYC. Weekend is saved here!
  6. It’s fairly minimal outside a small srea
  7. It’s so compact not much away from center. We want to toss.
  8. Using the NAM as if it's a good tropical model.
  9. Or it takes its time turning north, but by then the ULL almost moves it more NE because it does not have enough latitude for the ULL to dig down and tug it to the NNW.
  10. If this slows near the Cape, big hydro issues just to the west of track.
  11. Deep summer for awhile on guidance. Days of Dews and warmth.
  12. We had one in 2019 too. I can't get excited until this thing gets its act together. That's my view.
  13. I believe so, but don't quote me. Maybe someone else would know.
  14. Semi Stein with just over 3/4" but we'll take it. Another wet month. Dew is 77!
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