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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Some of these solutions are wild offshore. Legit looks like a cane being captured. Insane.
  2. Yeah deffy bands over the meth labs of BGM over to SLK probably.
  3. I'd like to see something near there too, but as it is intensifying. What isn't ideal, is a Cape track, but only after LBSW, and it's just occluding and dumbelling off the south coast. By then the WAA is well inland and polluting SNE. Having it intensify as it goes to the Cape would be significantly better.
  4. If I could get 6" and some rain and slot and have a 4" glacier, sign me up. But man if that high did not retreat, it would be nuts. You'd probably play naked CF where you are for awhile if that happened.
  5. Ray is ready to pound me with aluminum bats in his shed, but he'll never be able to pound Will. I know he wants to do that too.
  6. You now have cyclonic E-NE flow at 700. I dunno....that sort raises an eyebrow for getting precip more west. It probably starts as rain or a mix here, but if the meat can get west, might be a fun ending for a couple of hours.
  7. In this day and age? No suits...hell I could be doing a webex meeting with just a Red Sox t shirt and nothing else.
  8. Ha, nah I still want to be correct. My guess is a compromise which sounds like a cop out, but I don't trust the 6z GEFS and the EPS may be on the left side. My gut leans closer to EPS, although I will be happy to admit being wrong if the GEFS win out.
  9. I'm still in weather, but in what they call the customer success part of the biz. Basically helping customers make sure they are using the products and working out any roadblocks they have. I'm the only one who knows weather so I've been helping out those in the customer success role with some expertise. I still weenie out and forecast, but on my own haha.
  10. Good stuff from you last night. I miss the days of analyzing. I'm out of the forecast biz since May.
  11. So to me this makes sense. Compare 00z GEFS and 06z GEFS. - At 00z Monday you can see the srn stream on the 6z run is a bit east of the 00z position. - Nrn stream at 06z appears a little more strung out and weaker. All the energy at 00z is in the back of the s/w which will tighten it up. - Confluence north of New England looks better, especially as you advance 12 hrs.
  12. It certainly matters. A track near CHH would greatly limit the influx of warm air from the ocean to like 925-850.
  13. I still have no idea how to read those sensitivity charts, but makes sense knocking down the ridge a bit would shove things east down. Although I think a strong nrn vort is a risk of picking up the srn vort.
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