CoastalWx

Wish it away I see. Besides, I’m not sold on it.

Some of the QPF modeling may not be out to lunch, it’s probably unstable with warm SSTs and falling heights. It’s just a matter of where.

If that trough near AK sets up for awhile, it’s gonna be that dude yodeling up the mountain and tumbling over.

But those mesos look like a Ron Washington bender.

Reggie not buying.

ARWs gone wild too. It feels like PF viewing it lol. Can’t really buy until others show it.

Usually when you do that, it’s your passive aggressive way to wish it all out and then have it go to shit from here.

Fraud five Jack for ray?

Would like to see other mesos and HRRR show this.

Oooh what have we here on the NAM?

It probably won’t be anything with that trough. But tonight will be a lot of nuisance stuff just away from the coast including maybe you.

Some areas maybe near BOS or just inland could have some slippery conditions this evening. Like Will said, we’ll have to see if and how that inv trough sets up.

With the Canadian, it’s just some of these exotic solutions it has. Look at 00z yesterday. It buried NYC with the inv trough and it’s gone/shifted east in less than 24hrs all valid for tonight and tomorrow. The trough at 500 that caused it changes a little I suppose, but end result is night and day. You and I both know that surface results incorporate so much more than what we see at 500mb, but just using this as an example. Ukie isn’t much better although it tends to be much more stable within 2-3 days of valid time.

It’s not a pig pattern though, I’ve seen a lot worse. A few tweaks here and there and it’s active. But verbatim, it’s not pretty for several days anyways.

That’s great it scores well on the spread sheets at 500. But the results at the surface aren’t as sexy.

Snowpack ftw

It’s after that where it gets a little ugly. Anyways we may need to watch that time around 12/5.

Did we have sort of crappy pattern with a couple of light SWFE prior to 12/13/07? I remember a couple of small events before things really settled in.

There’s definitely been some volatility. Almost like when the guidance sneaks in a s/w into Anchorage area it goes nuts while other runs don’t do that.

It’s also climo this time of year too.

I was expecting a little more from you, but as your obs show, that snow had some meat to it. Friends of ours live in Waterbury. Excited to get up there this winter.

No such thing here LOL. The wind usually prevents that.

I’ll agree for skiing. But there is something about snow plastered to everything, especially with those evergreens you have.

Doesn’t seem bad to me.

Man snow is much more fun isn’t it?