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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I would highly advise not getting into what the HRRR is doing from a tropical standpoint
  2. At least you guys could really use the rain.
  3. Deep mind still has two clusters but a big cluster south of eastern Long Island to Block Island. Seems to be a lot of members sort of stall and spin in that area before wobbling back northeast. Seems to be a decent consensus around that spot I think.
  4. It’s still uncertain to me how much wind the interior sees. You guys are gonna be wedged it’s gonna be pretty darn cool at the surface. So that’s gonna hold back some mixing there. It depends on the track and how strong this thing is.
  5. It would cause outages, but it’s nothing we haven’t seen before in October when there still is leaves on the trees. At least on the coast. Obviously, inland it matters.
  6. Think gradient is more N to NE there.
  7. Basically 40-60 gusts NYC to BOS. At least drought ends.
  8. It’s more brief there and N winds so probably not a huge deal. If it tucked in closer to NYC before weakening it would be more impactful.
  9. AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement.
  10. Euro AI maximizes well south through. Meh.
  11. That’s funny you posted that. In between bands it definitely seemed more mixed.
  12. In this case you want to be on the north and northwest side of this storm. it’s way different than Sandy which was moving WNW and had a high to the east causing strong SE flow.
  13. Can look at it on Weathernerds. It’s labeled GFM and then the one that has been superior is called weathernext. It’s labeled as GDMWNV3
  14. 6z deep mind more clustered south of ACK and MVY then bending west.
  15. Winds overall would be less in that scenario, but perhaps more prolonged.
  16. 6z euro op is funny. Retros pretty far south, stalls south of LI then was about to wobble back NE at hr 144.
  17. I don’t think that strong. 925 would need to be 80-90kts and I don’t see that. Mixing barely to 925 as well. Unless this deepens more.
  18. 6z euro AI is nasty. Will be interesting to see when we get into hi res territory with the LLJ. Unlike previous storms there will be days of NE fetch. I’m gusting to 25mph and the seas are rough. It’s only Tuesday.
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