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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Wow one thing I did notice. The winds at 925 and 950 aren’t much different on the NAM and GFS. Both models are impressive at 950. I can’t see that on the euro, but I assume it may also apply to other models and not just GFS and NAM.
  2. CoastalWx
    Yep we knew
  3. CoastalWx
    I would highly advise not getting into what the HRRR is doing from a tropical standpoint
  4. CoastalWx
    At least you guys could really use the rain.
  5. CoastalWx
    Deep mind still has two clusters but a big cluster south of eastern Long Island to Block Island. Seems to be a lot of members sort of stall and spin in that area before wobbling back northeast. Seems to be a decent consensus around that spot I think.
  6. CoastalWx
    It’s still uncertain to me how much wind the interior sees. You guys are gonna be wedged it’s gonna be pretty darn cool at the surface. So that’s gonna hold back some mixing there. It depends on the track and how strong this thing is.
  7. CoastalWx
    It would cause outages, but it’s nothing we haven’t seen before in October when there still is leaves on the trees. At least on the coast. Obviously, inland it matters.
  8. CoastalWx
    I don’t see 70 right now.
  9. CoastalWx
    Think gradient is more N to NE there.
  10. CoastalWx
    Basically 40-60 gusts NYC to BOS. At least drought ends.
  11. CoastalWx
    It’s more brief there and N winds so probably not a huge deal. If it tucked in closer to NYC before weakening it would be more impactful.
  12. CoastalWx
    Should be fine imo.
  13. CoastalWx
    Meh long way to go.
  14. CoastalWx
    AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement.
  15. CoastalWx
    Looks like we have to toss euro AI
  16. CoastalWx
    Euro AI maximizes well south through. Meh.
  17. CoastalWx
    Phones off at school
  18. CoastalWx
    That’s funny you posted that. In between bands it definitely seemed more mixed.
  19. CoastalWx
    In this case you want to be on the north and northwest side of this storm. it’s way different than Sandy which was moving WNW and had a high to the east causing strong SE flow.
  20. CoastalWx
    Can look at it on Weathernerds. It’s labeled GFM and then the one that has been superior is called weathernext. It’s labeled as GDMWNV3
  21. CoastalWx
    6z deep mind more clustered south of ACK and MVY then bending west.
  22. CoastalWx
    SSTs are 61-63 offshore. Already cooling.
  23. CoastalWx
    Winds overall would be less in that scenario, but perhaps more prolonged.
  24. CoastalWx
    6z euro op is funny. Retros pretty far south, stalls south of LI then was about to wobble back NE at hr 144.
  25. CoastalWx
    I don’t think that strong. 925 would need to be 80-90kts and I don’t see that. Mixing barely to 925 as well. Unless this deepens more.
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