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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I'll illustrate. Maybe we are talking past each other and this is also just for the next two weeks or so. I think I feel better having this role into January. Anyways, I feel like I want to see these features more east for something more epic. Get that cold, but also the baroclinic zone a bit to the east. We do have that Greenland ridge and confluence east of us, but it may not force everything under us. It also may be a little on the drier side with that type of flow over us..but again that is a mean and doesn't show daily details. We will have some chances I think...just not sold on the epic look, which for whatever reason caused angst.
  2. 24th too might be something. I think Dryslot said it. So perhaps something in that 3 day window 24-27?
  3. I think 25-26 give or take has some legs. We know the caveats, but all guidance trying to show something.
  4. You and I have never had a tenor lol. Again, this didn't really have a shot here. So as far as I am concerned, anything inside day 5 never had legs so far. That might change near and after Christmas. I'm more hopeful beyond that in January when climo gets legs.
  5. I feel like people pounce every time you say something not to the like of epicosity. If he is balls deep in snow, congrats. It's not bad, I'm just not sold on epic.
  6. Because those diagrams everyone loves are prone to noise like that. I don’t even look at those.
  7. Well we’ve had a week go by too. But as time goes on, I wonder the potential with this. Well that’s all for now. I guess people can’t handle it. It’s either epic or 2012. Nothing in between I guess.
  8. I know someone will post other non epic looks like 2007, 2015 etc. I’m looking for anything too. I’ll argue the NAO region could help us. That’s the one thing keeping me going.
  9. Not sure what isn’t clear. I don’t see that it’s an epic look. It’s ok and you can get chances if it’s ok. But I mentioned the caveats about an epic look. Sometimes you guys remind of of Santa’s Little Helper on The Simpsons. Only hear certain commands. Ruff ruff ruff ruff, “epic snow” ruff ruff ruff ruff “pattern sucks.” Anything is better than this hell. But forgive me if I’m not sold on an epic look. I’m not sure what’s wrong with that take?
  10. I’m not in the boat he is lol. Man this place is a trip.
  11. Nothing changed. Given what we have now, anything is good lol. I just see some stuff that makes me not sold on an epic look. I explained above regarding next two weeks.
  12. I guess it’s how you read it. I didn’t say it sucked. It’s ok. You can still do well in an ok look. I’m just not giddy about it.
  13. Because the 2010-2011 stuff.....let’s pump the brakes on that. It’s an ok look.
  14. Maybe I’m the contrarian, but I don’t get the warm and fuzzies that others get in this pattern. It’s most certainly better than what we have had, but a few things where I’m like eh. The -PNA is massive. While that could be used to help throw out s/w’s, it’s gonna want to send things north too. So that’s where the -NAO helps. That should help keep things more south, but I’m not sold on that being a lock if we get a stronger system. It’s also not a cold look overall. Maybe we get a little BN in temps at times, but I wouldn’t mind it a little colder. The other thing is the zonal look on the mean. I know it’s a mean and won’t capture individual events, but it’s rather zonal so we may see a lot of small deals which is fine I guess? Maybe it’s me, but I don’t have the excitement as some do.
  15. Yeah may have to go to CH after Christmas haha. Don’t have a good feeling near and south of pike.
  16. NAM was nice near and esp over the border into NH. Not much near and south of pike. Decent burst to start before pellets and ZR inland and rain near coast.
  17. Haven’t dug into Synoptics yet though. Just looking at a few things.
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