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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. NAM is funny looking, just picks a cluster of convection and throws a low over it. I doubt it goes that far offshore.
  2. Is that Boston harbor buoy or Stellwagen? I feel like Boston Harbor buoy gets solar issues in April because they spike during the day and cool at night. It shouldn’t be so diurnal.
  3. You need a good SWFE to bring that inland a bit. Like 07-08 style. On the other hand, your location maxed out snow potential this round with your latitude and then coastal front collapse south. I consider than a win when areas at 1K in SNE are looking at their clean and green lawns.
  4. I feel like Late April or early May? They start to rise quickly by then.
  5. Yeah like I said. We ride the line for a bit, but it gradually gets more conducive for snow. We won’t shake the -PNA, but we have blocking and a more expansive area of cold to help.
  6. 6z EPS seems to show another small burst of snow Christmas night. Or some mixed precip.
  7. I feel like it’s not the airmass for it. A little warm at surface.
  8. BDL definitely had one in 1995. There must be other years too.
  9. Ha good luck NWP for figuring out this s/w cluster eff. Another s/w right after Christmas.
  10. That 500 loop on that model is exactly what could go right in these blocks. That’s what many envision in their heads as an ideal scenario with these things. Unfortunately it’s the ICON.
  11. I’ll build the first one in Tblizz’s front yard. And he thinks his wife would be pissed at a Davis mounted in front yard.
  12. Always watch these gulf lows. More often than not they tick west.
  13. No kidding lol. I have a feeling 00z corrects a bit, but that was really strange to see.
  14. FWIW fairly large changes in the 18z euro. It's not robust, but some flurries or very light snow now on Friday, and seems like the deal later Christmas would also be a little more south if one extrapolated....but that's not really meaningful to do at this range.
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