CoastalWx

The euro and ai ensembles increased QPF over the Mid Atlantic into NJ. Shaved a bit near and north of NH border. Maybe it’s trying to mature it down there more.

Yeah where it’s colder at H7 that’s where your lift is and heavy snow. Good approximation anyways.

Just posted. That’s a cool image though.

Here is your back bent WF on euro. Goes from center of H7 low and curls near ack and off Chatham. Can see that on the kinks of the height lines. on the 3k Nam check out that moisture train feeding into SNE. The real mid level dynamics verbatim on this snap shot are in NJ, but that is a pure gravy train on the 3k Nam. Eventually you do get the mid level forcing, but with such a deep cutoff…that moisture train looks impressive. it’s just something I noticed. There will still be deformation bands etc.

Hold on…..

The euro kind of keeps that more south. I’m not sure if you saw my comment earlier, but this storm is almost more like a fire hose that comes in with some convection in it versus getting all the moisture from the mid level dynamics. Mid levels come into play, but this thing is a beast as H5 deepens to the south.

I’d look more to see where the back bent WF is at 700 and 500

Yeah euro is pretty far south.

Euro not as crazy as gfs for sure

I was looking at mid-level lapse rates, and there’s like an EML advecting in lol.

Oh I know them.

Is that a song? Honest question I’ve never heard of it.

If that worked out, it could in some areas, but nothing will come close to that here.

WTF is this?

Gfs loading up lol. Wow.

I think because of where that starts out and matures, there’s not gonna be the WOR screw zone with this.

Jesus just a firehose

I think 2’ risk extends into NE MA to central MA and CT with banding.

It’s been doing that and I really can’t find a reason why, other than land/sea convergence. But if that was the case, I would expect other models to show that

Reggie still a little east but impressive.

Holy shit you too?? It drives me nuts lol.

I might be at Brett’s house when it’s over.

Days and days without power?

Hrrr is nuts but extended hrrr

2.2” of man snow.