CoastalWx

AI and EpS ensembles both in good agreement after the 20th. So weird to see a bulging ridge in the Midwest like that, but they have it. Definitely clipper and/or overrunning potential. Also can’t rule out a cutter too. Why can’t we get that 1500 miles more west lol.

A lot of those events just didn’t have the confluence that we have with this one. It would start out as a wave moving off of NC and just tickle NW each run.

That was freaking ravaging.

I guess an inch would look festive.

Both 6z euro op and euro ai were decent at 6z. Euro needs to hold serve because seeing hires models outside of Reggie kind of meh makes me nervous.

12z euro AI very close to 6z.

Except the last one

Went from a coating to maybe an inch on gfs.

Nope

You definitely get the golden weed whacker award for this period. I’ve had the honor of holding that for a few years now.

Reggie cut back just a bit but still aggressive. Tough to buy in.

It’s the one thing that’s been bugging me and for some reason it’s going right up my tailpipe. I can’t believe we’re gonna waste this awesome airmass that we’ve had for over two weeks.

Well, there’s no doubt I’ve let my opinions out on this pattern. However, after the warm-up next week, I think there is a legit shot of some overrunning before Christmas. I was just looking a little bit more at the ensemble and you can definitely get a sense based on the members and six hour QPF that there’s some semblance of moisture trying to run into some of the cold area that we’ll have in place or at least trying to leak down from Canada. It could easily cut, however I think if there’s any shot it’s probably like the 21st to the 24th or something like that.

Gonna look pretty cool at the heritage museum lights. Hope you get at least a couple.

Seriously who or what do we need to sacrifice tomorrow to make it snow?

Yeah this has Bruce Willis flags with flow out of the NW from 850 and below.

Let’s butt fumble.

Did Christmas move up a week? Mary have to have an emergency C-section?

I think field will be ok by 1. They’re gonna try and throw I bet.

Prepare for an interception.

HRRR says to enjoy my coating.

Well hopefully snow otg. Might be a lot of sublimating half inch deals too.

That’s gonna be a great game.

NE flow where? From Quebec into Maine over snowpack?

I’m not calling for one way or the other, just noting what it has.