CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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115” of meh.
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I feel a little better overall today vs a few days ago seeing that -NAO. It started to look a little dire with an overall +AO.
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Thats nice work @The 4 Seasons
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Will brings up a good point. With the models trying to torch January with a SE ridge, we’ll need that to persist. That stupid conus ridge isn’t lasting forever.
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Meanwhile euro had a nice SWFE. I’d hit it.
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You would think something would work out.
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Cape will be inverted I think.
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I wouldn’t worry too much this far out. Just real interesting to see. That subtle shift west in the central Conus ridge hopefully helps to keep systems from shunting south.
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Congrats Chatham and MVY. Never thought I’d say that in December lol.
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Op runs go insane with the blocking in early January.
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Hopefully enough blocking to give BWI a 2’ storm like the 6z gfs has and cirrus for us.
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Christmas Day showers on the euro AI.
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No, just me ha ha.
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That was a decent run. But I have no idea how good it is.
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If there is a lot of rain then no big deal. But it’s a real strong LLJ during daytime.
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Meanwhile, could really blow tomorrow.
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Got to watch Christmas Day too. Models are waffling on timing.
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That’s basically it. However this pattern hasn’t really existed over our last shitty several winters so as you say….we just don’t know. lol.
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It’s definitely not a stable look for sure, but it’s darn persistent on guidance in some shape or form. It’s just bizarre to me. I can’t recall anything like it. Of course we can’t get a nice deep trough out west and a SE ridge with that look because if we did, I feel like it would be a fun pattern. But God forbid we have something in our favor.
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Pretty much gone here
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Honestly, are there any analogs that have that look? I can’t recall that. It reminds me of those stagnant farts that just stays in the room and doesn’t disperse. Just persistent ass.
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That pattern still makes me ill. Of course somehow we have this massive central US ridge amid a massive Bering Sea ridge and Greenland ridge. Honestly, we’d be much better off with a SE ridge with that depiction, but somehow we have the Elephant Man look in the US.
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Low over southern Hudson Bay doesn’t exactly give me good feelings for Snow.
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Pretty meager.
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Nice Sonoran heat release for Tippy.
