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mob1

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Posts posted by mob1

  1. 3 minutes ago, StormySquares said:

    NAM3K doesn't have discrete cells often, but it does Thursday. Most models are showing the slowing trend, Thursday looks to be another severe weather outbreak across Dixie. Pending 00z guidance a day 2 moderate risk is certainly possible. 

    nam3k.png

    Yeah, it definitely has a tendency to hasten upscale growth far too quickly. They might hold off on a moderate till day one though given the uncertainty in timing and to see how the morning MCS evolves. 

  2. Very bad day for MI unfortunately with 232 new deaths reported, I wonder if it's due to a lag in weekend reporting. I think there's an increase pretty much everywhere every Tuesday and Wednesday. 

  3. Just now, StormySquares said:

    What would cause the velocity to be this impressive but have the cc hole progressively get less pronounced? Can someone smarter then me answer this?

    Not hitting anything, regardless of how strong the tornado is there needs to be something in its path to loft debris. 

  4. 1 minute ago, Snowstorm920 said:

    Ya there’s definitely something going on the modes aren’t catching. Be interesting to see how things evolve tonight. Some short range models are showing the environment becoming increasingly favorable for tornadoes as the night goes on  

    While wind profiles look good overnight on the mesoscale models, they've been so far off till now that it's hard to know for sure. 

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