Animal

1 minute ago, RedSky said:

Still has the lil subsidence zone over SEPA but whatever.

 

Yea curious if dry slotted or caught between snow bands.

18 minutes ago, RedSky said:

I95 gets euro crushed

 

Seems to be a dip in total liquid immediate philly and this equals slightly lower snow totals of 12-15 inches.

Really solid king run..I was expecting a disaster 

1 minute ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

60 degrees today and we are pulling out shovels and snow blowers lol! 

Yea...doing some yard work soon. Super nice day out!!

4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

12z suite takeaway i95 and 10 miles n and w are losing wiggle room.

There is reason we average 20-28 of snow a season. At this point, hoping for a decent front end over to mix and back to snow. Not expecting the euro to be favorable.

46 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

GFS - Sigh of relief

Not enjoying the Canadian model on my street..keeps moving heaviest snow nw.

I get table scraps now!

12z gfs big hit phl metro!!

tune up the snowblowers...

28 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Lol, you guys even mention snowblower tuneup then the NAM comes in with the farthest N and W track of any model. Admittedly I dont put any stock in a 78hr NAM map but I just thought that was funny.

Eta: Verbatim the NAM is an epic sleet storm for most of SE PA

We got no where to go but down hill from here!

1 hour ago, Nibor said:

6z gfs fringes northern areas. Immediate NYC area still in the thick of the heaviest snowfall 10+

High Point park 4 inches...I 80 is near 14 inches..it happens..

4 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Has 13" for you and I. We gladly take.

Eta: The 'odd' look is because there is a transfer happening at the exact 96hr panel so it appears as 3 or 4 meso lows.

Nah...need 20-30!!

one storm dump to hit seasonal averages!!

1st call

phl airport 9.8inches

my house 10.5

wilmington airport 10

west Chester 13 inches

New hope 12 inches

golden snow shovel award 16 Pottstown area

Any event I joined cocohoras for reporting rain,sleet snow.

it’s honestly a serious group. 

my handle is 1.7 w upper chi Chester 

8 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

There aren't any trends 

Yes there are...a big storm is brewing..

10 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Low makes it inland to Vineland this GFS run uh ohs

 

Hopefully just a blip.

let’s wait for the ensembles!!

9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Losing that warm fuzzy feeling. 18z GFS is a decent tick N and W and quite a bit of mixing being shown. Jackpot shifted central PA. 

Lots of rain on my street!!

it’s an off cycle run of the goofus.

Afternoon afd from mt holly NwS is honking for significant snow event far northern Delaware, North East MD and north. Decent read overall. 

54 minutes ago, MGorse said:

The model snow maps, especially the SLR 10:1, should be banned from the internet or at least so the public does not see them.

NWS should partner with Twitter and Facebook for one of those alert messages that it is censored.

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Euro ens are hinting tucked system and mixing well inland....warm nose. Hoping thats just noise but make me a bit apprehensive to pull the trigger for SE PA even nearby burbs.

Just noise..if the op does not show what you like, zero in on the ensembles.

weenie handbook chapter 7. How to find snow on any model run

15-20 inch dump phl metro with the king!!

GFS model is a great pummeling.

love this model when it prints out runs such as the 12z

3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

Yep. Climo for the city will be like 6-10” then mix. Someone NW of the city will see 2 feet minimum. Two runs in a row the euro has this crazy pivot precip shield. Those are signs of the big ones. This is an interior Pa jackpot storm,  but I hope I’m wrong and we see SE trend today. 

In the big picture an 8-10 inch measurement at the airport is a news worthy storm.

Overnight euro and 6 gfs looked solid I 95 north and west into far northern new castle county Delaware.

going with climo for my house location , I would think 8-12 with some mixing at some point..need that storm a little further off the coast. 
not going to hear me complaining about this storm.

3 minutes ago, Newman said:

GFS, CMC, GEFS all bury DC to SNE

I will be locked and loaded if the models are still showing something tomorrow night. Plenty of time for the typical bs.

although I constantly hear the big storms the models lock in a week out.

snow weenie handbook in the preface and chapter 1 section 5.

3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Canadian is a HECS with 1-2' in the megalopolis from DC-BOS.

Nah.

a hecs needs to be 20 plus for philly.

not sure this storm can produce this just yet.

going to read up in the book tomorrow morning.

Canadian is a decent hit. 12-20 inches...not bad at all.

Just now, Birds~69 said:

Snow on snow before Christmas....that would be sweet.

Yeah, I just want some snow on the ground. It makes the outdoor lights look that much better.

Need a sold dump at a minimum of 5 inches Wednesday.