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Ginx snewx

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Posts posted by Ginx snewx

  1. 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Go back to the pre-clown map era when you have marginal temp profile….esp under 800-1000 feet  

    1. Look for 6 hourly QPF greater than 0.50”…preferably 0.75”+. The heavier the better, but 0.25 or 0.37 over 6 hours isn’t gonna cut it. That’s mostly white rain. 

    2. Look at 925 temps. Typically want -2ish or colder to avoid total slop though -1 will work if youre pounding with good snow growth aloft. 
     

    If you aren’t satisfying both of those criteria, then you’re looking at something significantly under 10:1 ratios. 
     

    Nocturnal timing for max precip can help a bit too, but it’s less significant than the two factors above. 

    ORH yellow thumpity thump

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    • Like 1
  2. 10 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

    Everyone wants to keep bringing up 04/01/97 and 04/06/82, and yeah 1996-97 was a ratter until April 1st just like this season but this one just doesn't have the same dynamics as that one did, and April 1982 had a very cold airmass to work with. In terms of overall synoptics this one actually looks more similar to 03/29/70, but even that one had better dynamics to work with.

    This is a bomb. Zero doubt 

    • Like 1
  3. 23 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    It’s been very good this season to be honest.  Numerous events the depth change has been much closer to reality with so many marginal temp events.  The 10:1 maps stacking up white rain that the depth maps got right at 4:1.

    Don't buy it as depicted.  Maybe typical April quick melt , but in storm??? . Bufkit will be better like the two footer you had

  4. 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    They probably have better retention that the E MA CP because they don't get the marine intrusions or the DSD days....kind of the inverse on how Kev doesn't get upslope like the ORH hills because he is more of a single hill than a chain. That area of VT doesn't get the general downslope on a prevailing westerly flow like the CP does.

    24 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    10:1 and then positive depth increase...

    ecmwf-deterministic-neng-total_snow_10to1-2383200.thumb.png.bd0175aa184fae350efc056a598e270d.png

    ecmwf-deterministic-neng-snow_depth_chg_inch-2383200.thumb.png.3c76bf87b268d20cc65808dbd0f7cc9c.png

    Depth change is always whacky

    • Like 1
  5. 42 minutes ago, dryslot said:

    Want to be done with this winter.

     

    28 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    I'm with you. I don't want to be tracking snow right now. I just want warmer/nicer weather. That tease we had earlier in the month propelled my brain right to warmer weather. If we didn't have that I may be more inclined to hope this could turn into a crushing...even for me :lol: 

     

    19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

    Same.  I'm moving into Sping mode

    Cryin for their Mommas AWT

    • Haha 2
    • Weenie 3
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