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Posts posted by Ginx snewx
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Hoist um up Monday PM.
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2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:
Go back to the pre-clown map era when you have marginal temp profile….esp under 800-1000 feet
1. Look for 6 hourly QPF greater than 0.50”…preferably 0.75”+. The heavier the better, but 0.25 or 0.37 over 6 hours isn’t gonna cut it. That’s mostly white rain.
2. Look at 925 temps. Typically want -2ish or colder to avoid total slop though -1 will work if youre pounding with good snow growth aloft.
If you aren’t satisfying both of those criteria, then you’re looking at something significantly under 10:1 ratios.
Nocturnal timing for max precip can help a bit too, but it’s less significant than the two factors above.
ORH yellow thumpity thump
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10 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:
Everyone wants to keep bringing up 04/01/97 and 04/06/82, and yeah 1996-97 was a ratter until April 1st just like this season but this one just doesn't have the same dynamics as that one did, and April 1982 had a very cold airmass to work with. In terms of overall synoptics this one actually looks more similar to 03/29/70, but even that one had better dynamics to work with.
This is a bomb. Zero doubt
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2 hours ago, powderfreak said:
Is that the same as positive depth change?
Depth at that time . There is no snow south of the Dendy area
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As depicted the largest areal area April storm since 82 (shifted north)
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24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:
Looks like a First Call Sunday/Final Call Tuesday given Wednesday onset.
He's back....
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23 minutes ago, powderfreak said:
It’s been very good this season to be honest. Numerous events the depth change has been much closer to reality with so many marginal temp events. The 10:1 maps stacking up white rain that the depth maps got right at 4:1.
Don't buy it as depicted. Maybe typical April quick melt , but in storm??? . Bufkit will be better like the two footer you had
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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:
EPS tightened up overall and got more intense....better NOP, but a bit less SOP.
Yea....we type.
Crazy inflow. March 18 ish
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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:
12z EPS is even a little better than yesterday's bonkers mean.
Start typing you will thank me later. Its Classic Ray
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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:
They probably have better retention that the E MA CP because they don't get the marine intrusions or the DSD days....kind of the inverse on how Kev doesn't get upslope like the ORH hills because he is more of a single hill than a chain. That area of VT doesn't get the general downslope on a prevailing westerly flow like the CP does.
24 minutes ago, powderfreak said:Depth change is always whacky
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Last 960 ish April Storm?
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3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:
Wish it was that easy. Need the 50:50 to work a miracle. Climo favors interor but anomalous storms do anomalous things.
Somebody needs to grenade the NAM. Congrats on a foot
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42 minutes ago, dryslot said:
Want to be done with this winter.
28 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:I'm with you. I don't want to be tracking snow right now. I just want warmer/nicer weather. That tease we had earlier in the month propelled my brain right to warmer weather. If we didn't have that I may be more inclined to hope this could turn into a crushing...even for me
19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:Same. I'm moving into Sping mode
Cryin for their Mommas AWT
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4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:
I’d feel a lot better if I was Hunch and Ineedsnow. Probably screwed south of there . Persistence forecasting . Can’t go wrong anymore with it
Yea well it's also April so a safe call....for now
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Cat paws here. Snow just above
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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th
in New England
Posted
Just lock it up NOP for big totals.